Chicago Fire -124 against Columbus Crew, and the price keeps climbing.

Chicago Fire host Columbus Crew SC with the market calling it for the home side. The Fire are priced at -124 on the moneyline, and the market probability with margin removed sits at Chicago Fire 52%, Draw 23%, Columbus Crew SC 25%. That's a real favorite, but not a runaway one.

The case for Chicago starts with the record: 16-7-10, 1.8 goals per game scored, 1.5 allowed. They've been the stronger side across the season and they're at home. The recent form is choppy, L-W-D-W-W-W-L-D-W-L over the last 10, and they come in on a 1-game losing streak, so the price isn't built on a hot streak. It's built on the season-long body of work and home advantage.

The case for Columbus is that they're not a pushover on the road. They're 13-5-15, scoring 1.7 per game and allowing 1.5, nearly identical to Chicago's defensive number. Their last 10 reads W-W-L-D-W-L-L-D-D-L, also a 1-game losing streak, so both teams arrive in similar shape. The Crew's moneyline record is 4-3, and at +298 they're priced as the clear underdog, which is where the argument for them lives: a team with a comparable goals profile getting a big number.

The line has moved. Chicago opened at -109 and is now -124, sharp money on the Fire. Best prices: Chicago Fire -123 at MyBookie.ag, Draw +334 at BetOnline.ag, Columbus Crew SC +298 at BetOnline.ag. On Draw No Bet, Chicago Fire -256 at BetOnline.ag and Columbus Crew SC +206 at BetOnline.ag.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you at the book listed above.