Columbus Crew SC +160 at D.C. United: Fade the Favorite's Bad Form

The God of Odds likes Columbus Crew SC on the moneyline at +160, and BetUS is the place to hammer it. This is a classic fade the favorite spot. D.C. United may be at home, but their 5-7 record screams mediocrity, while Columbus sits at 10-6. The Crew are the better team, and the market is giving us a gift.

Look at the numbers. Columbus scores 1.6 points per game and allows just 1.3. D.C. scores 1.3 and allows 1.6. That's a full goal swing in expected output. The Crew's recent form is ugly, losers of three of their last five, but that's exactly when you buy. D.C. hasn't been much better, going 1-4 in their last five. Both teams are trending down, but one of them has a winning record and the other doesn't.

The moneyline has moved our way, a sharp signal. When the public piles on the home favorite, and the line shifts toward the dog, that's the market telling you something. Columbus has the better overall resume, and they're catching a struggling D.C. side at the right time. This is a spot where the underdog has the clear edge in quality.

Now, shop around. MyBookie has Columbus at +152, Bovada at +152, and LowVig and BetOnline at +155. But BetUS is offering +160, and that's the best number on the board. You're getting an extra 8 cents of value compared to the worst price. That's the difference between a good bet and a great one. Lock in Columbus at +160 on BetUS before the line moves further.