New York Red Bulls +180 vs Columbus Crew: Fade the favorite, back the better team

The God of Odds likes New York Red Bulls moneyline at +180 and LowVig is the place to hammer it.

Look at the records. New York Red Bulls are 7-3 this season, averaging 22.0 points per game. Columbus Crew SC is 3-6, averaging just 12.0 points per game. That is a massive gap in both record and scoring output. The Red Bulls have been dominant, and the Crew have been anything but.

Both teams lost their last game, but one of them has been winning consistently all year. The Red Bulls have a 7-3 mark for a reason. They score at a high clip and have shown they can close out games. Columbus is below .500 and has not proven they can hang with the top teams. The market is overrating the home field advantage for the Crew and underrating the Red Bulls' form.

Now look at the price. You can get New York at +180 at LowVig. That is a steal for a team with a 7-3 record facing a 3-6 team. The other books have them at +177 or +180, but LowVig offers the best line. This is a sharp fade of the favorite. The public will likely gravitate toward Columbus at home, but the numbers say the Red Bulls are the better team.

Confidence is high at 4 out of 5. The Red Bulls have the record, the scoring edge, and the value on the moneyline. Bet New York at +180 and watch the Crew struggle to keep up.