WINNER - New England Revolution moneyline
Final: Orlando City SC 2, New England Revolution 4
+0.87u
Profit
✅ Revs Moneyline Cashes at -115: The Market Caught Up, We Didn't Wait
Godds Pick
New England Revolution ML
Moneyline · Best odds: -109 at Bovada
New England sits at 13-8 with a 5-1 moneyline record and a 1.2 goals allowed average, while Orlando City is 10-11, allowing 2.2 goals per game and losers of three of their last four. The Revs' W-D-W-W-W-W run in their last 10 shows a side that closes games out, and Bovada's -109 is the cheapest price on the board.
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Pick Cashed
Final: Orlando City SC 2, New England Revolution 4 • New England Revolution moneyline ML
+0.87u
⚡ Why It Hit
New England's 4-goal outburst validated the pre-game read on their scoring rate and their 5-1 moneyline record as a favorite. We grabbed -115 before the market closed at -142, so we beat the close by 27 cents of price on top of cashing the ticket. The result and the number both landed on the right side.
Post-Game Analysis
✅ WIN: New England Revolution moneyline at -115, final score 4-2 over Orlando City SC.
The Revs did exactly what the pre-game read said they would: score early, control the middle, and never let Orlando breathe. Four goals is the loudest possible confirmation of that 1.6 goals per game scoring rate, and the 5-1 moneyline record as a favorite now reads 6-1. When this team is the chalk, the bettor gets paid.
Here's the part that matters more than the final whistle. We took New England at **-115**. It closed at **-142**. That's not a points move, it's a price move, and it tells you the market spent the day catching up to what we already knew. Beating the close by 27 cents on a moneyline is the sharpest signal there is. The result was a win, but the price was the real victory. **Bovada** gave us the best number on the board before the rest of the market woke up.
Winning and beating the close are two different things. This pick did both, and that's how you build a bankroll instead of just riding one.
The God of Odds delivers again.
All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes New England Revolution on the moneyline at -109, and Bovada is the place to hammer it. The Revs are the favorite here for a reason, and the price hasn't caught up to how lopsided this matchup looks on paper.
Start with the season body of work. New England is 13-8 with a 5-1 moneyline record, meaning when this team is favored, it delivers. That's not a fluke, that's a pattern. They're scoring 1.6 goals per game while conceding just 1.2, a goal differential that wins you games in this league.
Now look at the form. The Revs' last 10 reads W-D-W-W-W-W-L-W-L-L, and they opened this stretch with six straight results, five of them wins. There's a version of this team that stacks victories and shuts the door. Orlando City has no such version right now. The visitors are 10-11 on the year and their last 10 reads L-W-L-D-L-L-W-L-L-L. That's one win in their last five. They're leaking goals at 2.2 per game, and you don't fix that on the road against a side that defends at 1.2.
The situational math is simple. Orlando's defense gives up more than it scores, and New England's home crowd plus a 1.2 goals allowed average is a bad combination for a team that can't stop anyone. The Revs don't need a shootout. They need one clean hour and a moment of quality, and their 5-1 moneyline record says they find it.
Shop the number. Bovada hangs New England at -109, the cheapest price on the board. BetOnline.ag, BetAnything, and BetUS all sit at -115 or -116. That gap matters. On a -109 you're risking $109 to win $100; at -116 you're risking $116 for the same payout. Over a season of bets, that difference is real money in your pocket, not the book's.
The confidence here is 4/5. High-variance sport, capped ceiling, but the side is right. Take the Revs at Bovada before the price moves to match the rest of the market.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of Sep 18, 10:21 AM ET — lines may have moved

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