WINNER - New England Revolution moneyline
Final: Philadelphia Union 1, New England Revolution 2
+1.65u
Profit
✅ Revs +165: Fading the Union Paid Off
Godds Pick
New England Revolution ML
Moneyline · Best odds: +165 at LowVig.ag
New England Revolution are 6-3 on the season and scoring 1.8 PPG, while Philadelphia Union are 1-7 and scoring just 0.8 PPG. The Revs have won 6 of their last 10, and the Union have lost 8 of their last 10. At +165, this is massive value on a far superior team.
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Pick Cashed
Final: Philadelphia Union 1, New England Revolution 2 • New England Revolution moneyline ML
+1.65u
⚡ Why It Hit
New England's superior form and home advantage were underpriced at +165. Philadelphia's 1-7 record and lack of scoring punch made them a clear fade. The Revs controlled the game from start to finish.
Post-Game Analysis
✅ WIN: New England Revolution 2, Philadelphia Union 1. The Revs delivered exactly what we expected: a disciplined, efficient performance against a broken Union side. Carles Gil pulled the strings, and the defense held firm despite a late push from Philly. The moneyline at +165 was pure value. Philadelphia's 1-7 record wasn't a fluke. They're slow in transition, weak in midfield, and can't finish chances. New England exploited all of it. The odds never reflected the true gap in form. LowVig had the best number, and sharp bettors ate.
The God of Odds delivers again.
All Picks & Record →Pre-Game Analysis
The God of Odds likes New England Revolution on the moneyline at +165, and LowVig is the place to hammer it. This is a classic fade the favorite spot against a Philadelphia Union side that looks completely lost. The Revs are 6-3 on the season, averaging 1.8 goals per game while allowing just 1.2. Meanwhile, the Union are 1-7, scoring a pathetic 0.8 per game and giving up 1.5. The form gap is even wider: New England has won six of their last ten matches, while Philadelphia has lost eight of their last ten. That's not a slump, that's a team in freefall.
Philadelphia's lone win came against... well, it doesn't matter. The point is they've been dreadful. Their last ten results: L-D-D-W-L-L-L-L-L-L. That's six straight losses entering this game. New England, by contrast, has been rolling: W-D-W-W-W-W-L-W-L-L. Even with two recent losses, they've been dominant overall. At home, the Revs are 0-0 but that's just a quirk of the schedule. They're the better team in every metric that matters.
The books are sleeping on this line. Philadelphia is the favorite? Give me a break. The Revs at +165 is a gift. LowVig has the best price at +165, a full two ticks better than Bovada's +163. Don't overthink it. Take the better team getting plus money and watch the Union continue their spiral.
Confidence: 4 out of 5. Strong play. The numbers don't lie.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of May 8, 12:16 PM ET — lines may have moved

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