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Portland -140 at Austin FC, and the market's already moving.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Portland Timbers (moneyline -140)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Austin FC 22%, Draw 22%, Portland Timbers 56%

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Draw No Bet

Portland Timbers at Austin FC is a game where the market has already picked a lane. Portland is the favorite at -140, and the Godds market probability reads Portland 56%, Austin FC 22%, Draw 22%. That's a clear split, but it's not a runaway. The number tells you the books respect Portland's record, but they're not pricing this as a mismatch.

Austin FC's best argument is that it doesn't get blown out. The club has a draw in its last match and four draws in its last 10, a run of results that keeps games close even when the attack isn't firing. Austin scores 1.3 goals per game and allows 1.9, so the profile is a team that stays in games but rarely pulls away. At +340 on the moneyline, the market is saying the win is unlikely, but the draw at +344 is priced right next to it.

Portland's case is the win streak. The Timbers come in off a victory, they score 1.8 goals per game, and their last 10 includes four wins. The moneyline record of 0-1 is a small sample, but the form line is the stronger argument. Portland allows 1.8 per game, so this isn't a defense-first team; the edge is in the attack.

The line has moved. Austin FC opened at +255 and is now +340, a clear shift toward Portland. The best prices are all at BetAnything: Austin FC +340, the draw +344, and Portland -140 on the moneyline. In Draw No Bet, Austin FC is +241 and Portland is -305, also at BetAnything.

Godds has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play to hand down. If you have a read, the best number is waiting at BetAnything.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookTimbersDrawFCDNB TimbersDNB FC
MyBookie.ag+320
BetOnline.ag+344
Bovada+330
BetUS+344
BetAnything+344
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair-125+358+344-247+247

DNB (Draw No Bet): a draw returns the stake. Each book's from its own prices for the team and the draw: the price of the two bets that make it there.

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 6, 5:59 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Portland Timbers vs Austin FC: FAQ

Who is favored in Portland Timbers vs Austin FC?+

Portland Timbers: -140 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 56%.

What are the best odds for Portland Timbers vs Austin FC?+

When this analysis was written: Austin FC +340 at BetAnything, Draw +344 at BetAnything and Portland Timbers -140 at BetAnything on the moneyline; Austin FC +241 at BetAnything and Portland Timbers -305 at BetAnything on the Draw No Bet. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

Does GODDS have a pick for Portland Timbers vs Austin FC?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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