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San Diego FC vs. Seattle Sounders: The line is +120, and it's moving.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: San Diego FC (moneyline +120)
  • Market probability (margin removed): San Diego FC 43%, Draw 25%, Seattle Sounders FC 33%

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Draw No Bet

San Diego FC hosts Seattle Sounders FC on Saturday, and the market has installed San Diego as a +120 favorite on the moneyline. The draw sits at +285, Seattle at +190. Remove the margin, and the market gives San Diego 43%, the draw 25%, Seattle 33%. That's a split price. The market sees a game, not a mismatch.

Seattle's case is form. The Sounders have won four of five, with the only loss in that run coming before the wins stacked up. They're scoring 42.0 PPG, the higher output in this matchup, and the market's moneyline move backs that up. Sharp money has hit Seattle, and the number has moved accordingly. If you're building a case for the road side, it starts with recent results and a price that's getting shorter.

San Diego's case is the table. The home side is scoring 34.0 PPG and hasn't lost in its last two, both draws. The market still makes San Diego the favorite at +120, which means the pricing isn't ignoring the home side. The draws show a team that's hard to beat, even if the wins aren't piling up. The home crowd and the favorite tag are the argument here, and the market is holding that line despite the money coming on Seattle.

The line has moved from +114 to +120 on San Diego, and the sharp money is on Seattle. That's the story of the number. If you're on San Diego, the best price is +121 at BetOnline.ag. If you're on Seattle, it's +195 at Bovada. The draw is +292 at BetOnline.ag. On Draw No Bet, San Diego is -155 at BetOnline.ag, Seattle +117 at Bovada.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookFCDrawFCDNB FCDNB FC
MyBookie.ag+285
Bovada+280
BetOnline.ag+292
BetUS+285
BetAnything+285
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair+213+308+129+136-136

DNB (Draw No Bet): a draw returns the stake. Each book's from its own prices for the team and the draw: the price of the two bets that make it there.

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Oct 24, 7:07 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Seattle Sounders FC vs San Diego FC: FAQ

Who is favored in Seattle Sounders FC vs San Diego FC?+

San Diego FC: +120 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 43%.

What are the best odds for Seattle Sounders FC vs San Diego FC?+

When this analysis was written: San Diego FC +121 at BetOnline.ag, Draw +292 at BetOnline.ag and Seattle Sounders FC +195 at Bovada on the moneyline; San Diego FC -155 at BetOnline.ag and Seattle Sounders FC +117 at Bovada on the Draw No Bet. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

Does GODDS have a pick for Seattle Sounders FC vs San Diego FC?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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