St. Louis City SC -156 vs Toronto FC. The number is only getting shorter.

The God of Odds likes St. Louis City SC on the moneyline at -156, and BetOnline.ag is the place to hammer it.

St. Louis City SC is 11-6 on the season, scoring 1.7 goals per game while allowing just 1.4. That's the profile of a team that controls matches, and it's why the market has them priced as a clear favorite at home on Sunday.

Toronto FC is 6-8, allowing 1.8 goals per game. Their last 10 reads L-D-D-D-W-W-D-W-L-L, a stretch that includes just three wins and four draws. They don't lose often, but they don't win often either, and that's exactly the kind of team you fade on the road against a side with a winning record.

St. Louis City SC's last 10 shows L-L-L-D-D-W-L-L-L-D, which looks ugly on the surface. But that's why the price is where it is. The market has already punished them for a rough stretch, and the moneyline has moved our way. This is a buy-low spot on a team that's still 11-6 on the year with a plus goal differential.

The moneyline record for St. Louis City SC sits at 14-59, which tells you they win outright when they're supposed to. Toronto FC is 0-1 in that same category. When you combine St. Louis City SC's scoring edge (1.7 vs 1.5), their defensive edge (1.4 allowed vs 1.8 allowed), and the fact that Toronto FC has been living on draws, the -156 price is more than fair.

The best number on the board is BetOnline.ag at -156. Bovada is sitting at -165, and both BetAnything and BetUS are at -156. If you're betting this game, BetOnline.ag gives you the same price as the others with a book that's been sharp on MLS all season. Take the -156 before it moves to -165 or higher.

St. Louis City SC wins this one outright. Bet it at BetOnline.ag.