Rockets -4 against the Celtics, and the line keeps shrinking.

GODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

Favorite: Houston Rockets -4 (moneyline -175)
Market probability (margin removed): Houston Rockets 61%, Boston Celtics 39%
Line since opening: Houston Rockets -5 → -4 · Total 219.5 → 215.5

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Houston Rockets -170 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Boston Celtics +155 at BovadaBet at Bovada →

Spread

Houston Rockets -4 (-110) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Boston Celtics +4 (-105) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →

Total 215.5

Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →

The Rockets are 6-1 and 3-0 at home, but the market isn't sold. Houston opened -5 and sits at -4, with the moneyline drifting from -190 to -175. The market gives Houston a 61% chance after removing the margin. Boston, 5-1 and riding a five-game win streak, is the side the number is moving toward.

Houston's case is simple: 120.7 points per game, 108.3 allowed, a 4-1 ATS record and a 4-1 mark on the moneyline. The Rockets have won five of their last ten and covered 80% of their games. Steven Adams is out or doubtful at center, but Houston's 49.2% field-goal rate is the best number on the board. The Rockets beat Boston 128-101 in the most recent meeting, and they've been the more profitable side against the spread all season.

Boston's argument is timing and form. The Celtics have won five straight and are 4-1 on the moneyline, with a 118.7 points per game average and 109.2 allowed. They're only 2-3 against the spread, but the line movement says bettors see value in the road team. Devin Carter is out or doubtful, yet Boston's 46.9% field-goal rate hasn't stopped them from winning. The Celtics won the last meeting in Houston 114-93 back in February.

The total has dropped from 219.5 to 215.5, and the under is where the market moved. Best prices: Rockets -170 on the moneyline at BetAnything, Celtics +155 at Bovada. Spread: Rockets -4 (-110) at BetAnything, Celtics +4 (-105) at BetOnline.ag. Total 215.5: over -110 and under -110, both at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting at the books above.

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Odds Comparison

Sportsbook	Celtics	Rockets	Spread	O/U
BetOnline.ag
Bovada
BetUS
BetAnything
MyBookie.ag
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair	+163	-163	-4(-105)	215.5(O-101)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 2, 7:53 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets: FAQ

Who is favored in Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets?+

Houston Rockets: -4 on the spread and -175 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 61%.

What are the best odds for Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets?+

When this analysis was written: Houston Rockets -170 at BetAnything and Boston Celtics +155 at Bovada on the moneyline; Houston Rockets -4 (-110) at BetAnything and Boston Celtics +4 (-105) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 215.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened Houston Rockets -5 and was -4 when this analysis was written; the total opened 219.5 and was 215.5.

Does GODDS have a pick for Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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