Hornets -3.5 in Brooklyn. The Market Has Its Number.

Charlotte Hornets at Brooklyn Nets, Wednesday night, and the market has already made its call. The Hornets are -3.5 and -159 on the moneyline, and with the margin removed, GODDS puts this at Brooklyn 41%, Charlotte 59%. That's a clear favorite, but it's not a blowout price. The number has been moving all day, and both sides have a case.

Start with the Nets. They're 1-6 and 0-3 at home, but they've covered in 2 of 4 games and the over has hit in 3 of 4. Brooklyn scores 105.6 a night, and Charlotte allows 108.6. The Nets are also 2-1 in the last three meetings, including a 116-103 win on December 1. With Charlotte on a 4-game losing streak and just 1-2 on the road, the home side has a real argument at +3.5.

Now the Hornets. They're 3-5, but they've won 2 of the last 3 against Brooklyn, including a 136-117 blowout on October 22 and a 117-86 rout on March 31. Charlotte's defense allows 108.6, and Brooklyn's 41.7% field goal rate is the kind of number that keeps a team in a hole. The Hornets have covered just 2 of 6, but the market is clearly respecting the matchup history.

The line has moved from -2.5 to -3.5, and the moneyline has gone from +118 to +135 on Brooklyn, which means sharp money is on Charlotte. The total has dropped from 214.5 to 213.5. Best prices: Brooklyn +135 at Bovada, Charlotte -159 at MyBookie.ag. Spread is +3.5 (-110) at BetAnything on both sides. Total 213.5: over -110 and under -110 at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.