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Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH

Mavericks -2 in Cleveland, and the market barely moves.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Dallas Mavericks -2 (moneyline -130)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Cleveland Cavaliers 46%, Dallas Mavericks 54%
  • Line since opening: Dallas Mavericks -2 → -2 · Total 231.5 → 231.5

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Spread

Total 231.5

Dallas Mavericks -2 at Cleveland Cavaliers. The market makes the Mavericks a 54% favorite with the margin removed, and the moneyline sits at -130 on the road. Cleveland gets +110 at home, where the Cavaliers are 4-2. The spread hasn't budged from -2 since opening, and the total sits at 231.5. This is a game where the number is telling you the two teams are close, and the books aren't arguing.

The case for Dallas starts with the record. The Mavericks are 7-5 and cover at 56%, and they've won three of their last five. They score 113.2 per game and allow 112.2, a near-even split that keeps them in every game. The Mavericks also beat Cleveland 130-120 in the most recent meeting on March 15. But Dallas is 2-3 on the road and has dropped its last game, and Dereck Lively II is out or doubtful at center, which thins the frontcourt.

The case for Cleveland is home court and scoring. The Cavaliers put up 116.8 per game at home, where they're 4-2, and they're 6-3 on the moneyline. They also won the March 13 meeting 138-105. The concern is the defense, allowing 115.8 per game, and Evan Mobley is out or doubtful, which removes a key interior piece. Cleveland has lost its last game and is 4-5 against the spread, so the home edge comes with real questions.

No movement on the spread or total since opening. The best moneyline price on Cleveland is +110 at BetAnything, and the best on Dallas is -129 at MyBookie.ag. The spread is +2 (-110) on Cleveland and -2 (-110) on Dallas, both at BetAnything. The total of 231.5 is -110 on both sides at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookMavericksCavaliersSpreadO/U
BetOnline.ag
Everygame
Bovada
BetUS
BetAnything
MyBookie.ag
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair-118+118+1.5(+107)231.5(O+102)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 14, 11:29 AM ET. Lines may have moved.

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers: FAQ

Who is favored in Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers?+

Dallas Mavericks: -2 on the spread and -130 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 54%.

What are the best odds for Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers?+

When this analysis was written: Cleveland Cavaliers +110 at BetAnything and Dallas Mavericks -129 at MyBookie.ag on the moneyline; Cleveland Cavaliers +2 (-110) at BetAnything and Dallas Mavericks -2 (-110) at BetAnything on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 231.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened Dallas Mavericks -2 and was -2 when this analysis was written; the total opened 231.5 and was 231.5.

Does GODDS have a pick for Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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