Pistons -5.5 at Charlotte. The market says 66 percent.

Detroit rolls into Charlotte as the market's clear favorite, priced at -5.5 and -220 on the moneyline. The market gives the Pistons a 66% chance with the margin removed, leaving the Hornets at 34%. That's a big gap for a road team, and the number has been moving Detroit's way all week.

The case for Detroit starts with the record: 5-1 overall, 3-1 on the road, and a 3-1 mark against the spread. The Pistons score 109.8 per game and allow 101.8, and they've won three straight against Charlotte, including a 118-100 win in April. They've covered in 75% of their games, the best mark in this matchup.

Charlotte's argument is the home floor and the price. The Hornets are 2-2 at home and have lost three straight, but they're getting +183 on the moneyline and +5.5 on the spread. Their 98.3 points per game is the concern, and they're shooting just 40.8% from the field. The Hornets are 1-4 on the over/under, which tells you the market has been setting their totals too high.

The line opened at Detroit -3.5 and has climbed to -5.5, a clear move toward the favorite. The total moved from 209 to 210.5. Best prices: Charlotte +183 on the moneyline at BetOnline.ag, Detroit -215 at BetOnline.ag. On the spread, Charlotte +5.5 (-105) and Detroit -5.5 (-115), both at BetAnything. The total of 210.5 is -110 on both sides at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best numbers are above.