Pistons -10.5 at the Wizards, and the number keeps moving.

Detroit rolls into Washington as a -10.5 favorite, and the market has already made its call: 79% for the Pistons, 21% for the Wizards, margin removed. The moneyline sits at -465 on Detroit. If you're betting this game, you're betting against a number that's been sliding all day.

The Pistons' case is the road record. They're 4-1 away from home, 7-3 overall, and they've covered in 5 of 7 games. They score 112.7 and allow just 104.6, a scoring margin that travels. They've beaten Washington in 3 of the last 4 meetings, including a 137-135 shootout on Nov. 10. Jalen Duren is out, but Detroit's profile is still the one the market trusts.

Washington's case is the number itself. The Wizards are 2-2 at home and get +10.5 with a chance to keep it close against a Detroit team missing Duren inside. Washington scores 107.5 per game, and at home they've shown enough to hang around. The Wizards are on a 5-game losing streak and cover at just 25%, so the argument is price, not form.

The spread opened at +10 and moved to +10.5, toward Detroit. The moneyline went from +310 to +356 on Washington, sharp money on the favorite. Best prices: Washington ML +365 at BetAnything, Detroit ML -460 at BetOnline.ag. Spread: Washington +10.5 (-105) at BetUS, Detroit -10.5 (-110) at BetAnything. Total 220.5: Over -110 at BetAnything, Under -105 at BetOnline.ag.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. Whatever your read, take the best number on the board.