Spurs -14 vs Timberwolves. The market moved against them. I don't care.
Godds Pick
San Antonio Spurs -14
Spread · Best odds: -106 at LowVig.ag
San Antonio Spurs cover the spread at an 82% rate this season and are 32-8 at home. Minnesota is missing Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo, while the Spurs have only two injuries. The market moved the spread from -14.5 to -14, but our model shows an edge of 7.8 points in favor of San Antonio.
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The God of Odds likes San Antonio Spurs -14 at -106 and LowVig is the place to hammer it.
Let's be real. The Timberwolves are walking into a buzzsaw without Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo. That's two of their top three scorers. Meanwhile, the Spurs are sitting on a 62-20 record with a 32-8 mark at home. They score 119.8 PPG and allow just 111.5. That's a net rating that screams blowout.
The line opened at -14.5 and dropped to -14. That's sharp money trying to scare you off. But our model says the true spread should be closer to -22. That's a 7.8 point edge in our favor. The Spurs cover at an 82% clip this season. You don't fade that kind of consistency.
Minnesota is 23-18 on the road but 49-33 overall. That's solid, but not elite. They're 2-3 in their last five and missing key pieces. The Spurs are 4-1 in their last five and rolling. This is a mismatch of talent, depth, and home court.
LowVig has the best price at -14 (-106). Every other book is -110. You're getting better odds and the same number. Lock it in before the line moves back to -14.5.
This is a 4/5 confidence play. The Spurs cover and cover big.

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Odds Comparison
Odds as of May 3, 11:52 AM ET — lines may have moved

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