Knicks -5 in Cleveland. The Market Says 64%, the Cavs Say Not So Fast.

The Knicks roll into Cleveland as -5 favorites and -200 on the moneyline. The market gives New York a 64% chance with the margin removed, and Cleveland 36%. That's a big number for a road team with a 1-2 away record. The Cavs are 4-1 at home, and the books aren't moving off the five. If you think the home dog is live, the number is staring at you.

New York's case: a 4-4 record, a two-game win streak, and a defense allowing 105.1 points per game. The Knicks have won two of the last three meetings, including a 126-124 shootout on Christmas and a 119-111 win on October 22. They're 2-1 on the moneyline and getting the benefit of the doubt from the market. Josh Hart is out, but the Knicks are still priced like the better team.

Cleveland's case: 5-4 overall, 4-1 at home, and a 5-1 moneyline record. The Cavs score 119.2 points per game and have a win streak of their own. But Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen, and Jaylon Tyson are all out or doubtful. That's a lot of rotation missing against a team that just beat them twice. The Cavs are 3-3 against the spread and 4-2 on the over/under.

The line hasn't moved: Knicks -5 since opening, total 223. Best price on Cleveland's moneyline is +170 at BetAnything; New York's best is -193 at BetOnline.ag. The spread is -110 both ways at BetAnything, and the total is 223 with -110 on both sides at BetAnything.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If your read is the Cavs, +170 at BetAnything is the number. If it's the Knicks, -193 at BetOnline.ag is the best you'll find.