Wizards 111, Pistons 122: the favorite covers at -9
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Detroit Pistons -10.5 (moneyline -515)
- Market probability (margin removed): Detroit Pistons 80%, Washington Wizards 20%
- Line since opening: Detroit Pistons -10.5 → -10.5 · Total 219.5 → 219.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Detroit Pistons -500 at BetUSBet at BetUS →
- Washington Wizards +390 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Spread
- Detroit Pistons -10.5 (-105) at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Washington Wizards +10.5 (-110) at MyBookie.agBet at MyBookie.ag →
Total 219.5
- Over -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
- Under -110 at BetAnythingBet at BetAnything →
Final: Washington Wizards 111, Detroit Pistons 122
Against the closing line: Detroit Pistons won and covered -9 · Total 233, over 219
Game Recap
Washington Wizards 111, Detroit Pistons 122. Detroit closed as a **9-point** favorite and delivered a wire-to-wire statement, though the Wizards made them sweat. The Pistons led by double digits early, but Washington clawed back to make it a one-possession game in the fourth. Detroit's defense tightened when it mattered, forcing stops and converting at the line to seal it. The total sailed over **219** with room to spare, hitting **233** as both teams found rhythm late. The favorite covered the **-9** close, but the real story is how close Washington came to stealing it outright. The market had Detroit at **80%** to win, and they did, but not without a fight. The Pistons move to **7-3** overall, while the Wizards fall to **4-7**.
Pre-Game Analysis
Detroit hosts Washington Monday night as a -10.5 favorite, and the market has this one priced at 80% to 20% with the margin removed. The Pistons are 6-3 overall and 2-2 at home, while the Wizards are 4-6 and 2-4 on the road. The line opened at -10.5 and hasn't moved. The total sits at 219.5, also unchanged since opening.
The case for Detroit starts with the number itself. The Pistons are 4-2-0 against the spread, a 67% cover rate, and they've won three of the last four meetings in this head-to-head. They score 111.7 per game and allow 103.9, a scoring margin that supports the favorite's price. The concern is health: Jalen Duren (C) and Isaiah Joe (G) are both out or doubtful, and Detroit carries a two-game losing streak into this one.
The case for Washington is the price. At +390 on the moneyline, the Wizards don't need to win often to justify a look. They're 2-5 on the moneyline and 2-5-0 against the spread, a 29% cover rate, which is the weakest number in this matchup. They score 107.8 and allow 112.5, and they've lost three straight. Four players are out or doubtful: Tristan Vukcevic (F), Reece Beekman (G), Justin Champagnie (F) and Jamir Watkins (G).
The spread hasn't moved off -10.5, and the total is holding at 219.5. Best price on Detroit's moneyline is -500 at BetUS; Washington's best is +390 at BetOnline.ag. On the spread, Detroit -10.5 (-105) is best at BetAnything, and Washington +10.5 (-110) is best at MyBookie.ag. The total is Over -110 and Under -110, both at BetAnything.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play. Whatever your read, take the best number on the board.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 9, 3:37 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons: FAQ
Who is favored in Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons?+
Detroit Pistons: -10.5 on the spread and -515 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 80%.
What are the best odds for Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons?+
When this analysis was written: Detroit Pistons -500 at BetUS and Washington Wizards +390 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; Detroit Pistons -10.5 (-105) at BetAnything and Washington Wizards +10.5 (-110) at MyBookie.ag on the spread; Over -110 at BetAnything and Under -110 at BetAnything on the total of 219.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Detroit Pistons -10.5 and was -10.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 219.5 and was 219.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Washington Wizards 111, Detroit Pistons 122.
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