Manhattan -3.5 against Albany, and the moneyline keeps climbing.

Manhattan opens as a -3.5 home favorite against Albany, with the moneyline sitting at -163 and the market giving the Jaspers a 59% chance to win with the margin removed. That's a real number, not a coin flip, and it's the number bettors have to argue with. Albany walks in at 1-0, Manhattan at 0-1, yet the market still prices the Jaspers as the side to beat. That gap between record and price is the whole conversation.

The case for Manhattan starts with the market itself. The moneyline moved from -152 to -163, and that's sharp money stepping in on the home side, not casual action. The Jaspers are also the side the spread can't shake loose: -3.5 has held since opening. The market sees a team that scored 57 in its opener and still believes the home floor and the matchup correct the result.

The case for Albany is the scoreboard. The Great Danes are 1-0 and put up 74 points while allowing 67, and they get +135 on the moneyline at Bovada, the best price on the board. If Manhattan's 85 points allowed in its opener is the real defensive profile, Albany's scoring has room to operate. The road underdog with the better record and the better scoring number is exactly the side a contrarian wants at plus money.

The total sits at 147 and hasn't moved. Best prices: Manhattan -160 and Albany +135 on the moneyline at Bovada; -3.5 (-110) on both sides at Bovada; Over and Under -110 at Bovada. BetOnline.ag hangs -4 (-105) on Manhattan, a half-point more juice for a half-point less price. Everygame has the Jaspers at -167, the worst number on the board.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. Whatever your read is, the best number is waiting at Bovada.