Wichita St -12 vs Austin Peay. The Market Is Split on the Number.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Wichita St Shockers -12 (moneyline -847)
- Market probability (margin removed): Wichita St Shockers 86%, Austin Peay Governors 14%
- Line since opening: Wichita St Shockers -12.5 → -12 · Total 153 → 155
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Wichita St Shockers -800 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Austin Peay Governors +600 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Spread
- Wichita St Shockers -12 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Austin Peay Governors +12 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 155
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Wichita St hosts Austin Peay as a -12 favorite, with the moneyline at -847 and the market giving the Shockers an 86% chance to win. The total sits at 155. The spread and the moneyline tell different stories, and that's where this one gets interesting.
Wichita St's case is scoring. The Shockers put up 92.7 points per game and shoot 50.5% from the field. They've won one straight and are 2-1 overall. The moneyline moved from -700 to -847, which means sharp money is backing them to win outright. But they're 0-1-0 ATS, and the spread has moved the other way, from -12.5 to -12. Backers of the favorite are paying for a team that hasn't covered yet.
Austin Peay's case is defense and value. The Governors allow just 65.7 points per game, a full 7.6 fewer than Wichita St gives up. They're 1-0-0 ATS, covering in their only lined game, and they've also won one straight at 2-1. The line moving toward them from -12.5 to -12 says the market respects that defense. The Governors' 86.7 points per game and 45.4% shooting won't scare anyone, but they don't have to win. They have to stay within 12.
The total moved from 153 to 155, toward the over. Wichita St is 1-0-0 on overs; Austin Peay is 0-1-0. Best prices: Wichita St moneyline -800 at BetOnline.ag, Austin Peay +600 at Everygame. Spread: both sides -110 at Bovada. Total 155: over and under -110 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. Take the best number for your read.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 14, 5:17 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers: FAQ
Who is favored in Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers?+
Wichita St Shockers: -12 on the spread and -847 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 86%.
What are the best odds for Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers?+
When this analysis was written: Wichita St Shockers -800 at BetOnline.ag and Austin Peay Governors +600 at Everygame on the moneyline; Wichita St Shockers -12 (-110) at Bovada and Austin Peay Governors +12 (-110) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 155. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Wichita St Shockers -12.5 and was -12 when this analysis was written; the total opened 153 and was 155.
Does GODDS have a pick for Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita St Shockers?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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