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Indiana -30 against Bellarmine, and the market isn't blinking.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Indiana Hoosiers -30
  • Line since opening: Indiana Hoosiers -30 → -30 · Total 153.5 → 153.5

Best prices when this analysis was written

Spread

Total 153.5

Indiana hosts Bellarmine on Thursday night as a 30-point favorite, and the market has settled there. The Hoosiers are 1-0 after a 91-57 win, while the Knights are 0-1 following a 47-93 loss. The spread opened at -30 and hasn't moved, and the total sits at 153.5 with no significant movement. The market probability isn't available, but the number itself tells you what books think: this is a mismatch on paper.

For Indiana, the case is simple. They're scoring 91.0 points per game and allowing just 57.0, and they shot 50% from the field in their opener. They're on a 1-game win streak and have covered the moneyline in their only game. The Hoosiers have the firepower to dictate terms, and the data backs up their favorite status.

For Bellarmine, the argument is less rosy but still exists. They're scoring only 47.0 points per game and allowing 93.0, and their field goal percentage is a woeful 36.96%. They're on a 1-game losing streak and haven't played a true road game yet. But the Knights have nothing to lose as a huge underdog, and stranger things have happened in buy games. The data doesn't offer much hope, but the +30 is there for those who see a backdoor cover.

The line hasn't budged since opening: Indiana -30 remains the number across the board, and the total is stuck at 153.5. For the best price on the favorite, Bovada offers Indiana -30 (-110), while Bellarmine +30 (-110) is also at Bovada. On the total, Everygame has both the over and under at -114. If you're shopping around, BetOnline.ag has Indiana at -29.5 (-115), a slightly different number.

GODDS has no pick on this game because no side reaches 70% in its model. That's the bar, and this game doesn't clear it. So do your own work and grab the best number for your read.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookSpreadO/U
Bovada
Everygame
BetOnline.ag
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair-30(+110)154(O+103)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 5, 12:56 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Bellarmine Knights vs Indiana Hoosiers: FAQ

Who is favored in Bellarmine Knights vs Indiana Hoosiers?+

Indiana Hoosiers: -30 on the spread when this analysis was written.

What are the best odds for Bellarmine Knights vs Indiana Hoosiers?+

When this analysis was written: Indiana Hoosiers -30 (-110) at Bovada and Bellarmine Knights +30 (-110) at Bovada on the spread; Over -114 at Everygame and Under -114 at Everygame on the total of 153.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened Indiana Hoosiers -30 and was -30 when this analysis was written; the total opened 153.5 and was 153.5.

Does GODDS have a pick for Bellarmine Knights vs Indiana Hoosiers?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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