Bellarmine +20 at Miami (OH): The Market Says 94 Percent
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Miami (OH) RedHawks -20 (moneyline -10000)
- Market probability (margin removed): Miami (OH) RedHawks 94%, Bellarmine Knights 6%
- Line since opening: Miami (OH) RedHawks -20 → -20 · Total 159 → 159
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Miami (OH) RedHawks -10000 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Bellarmine Knights +1400 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Spread
- Miami (OH) RedHawks -20 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Bellarmine Knights +20 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 159
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Miami (OH) opened its season with a win and now gets a Bellarmine team still hunting its first. The market has this one priced as a mismatch: RedHawks -20, moneyline -10000, with the margin removed giving Miami (OH) a 94% win probability. Bellarmine sits at 6%. That's the gap bettors are staring at, and it's the reason this game matters.
The case for Miami (OH) is simple: the RedHawks are 1-0 straight up and 1-0 against the spread, scoring 86.0 points per game while allowing 77.0. They shoot 45.6% from the field and have already covered once as a favorite. The data says they've handled their business early.
The case for Bellarmine is the number itself. The Knights are 0-2 but 1-0 against the spread, and they're scoring just 58.0 per game while allowing 92.5. That's ugly, but they've already shown they can stay inside a number once. A 20-point spread is a lot of points to lay with a team that hasn't proven it can blow anyone out.
The line hasn't budged: Miami (OH) -20 at open, -20 now, total 159 to 159. For the spread, the best price on the RedHawks is -20 (-110) at BetOnline.ag; on Bellarmine, +20 (-105) at Bovada. Moneyline: Miami (OH) -10000 and Bellarmine +1400, both at Everygame. Total 159: over -110 and under -110, both at Bovada. BetOnline.ag has 159.5, Everygame 159 with over -118.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play to hand out. Whatever your read is, the best number is on the board above.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 7, 3:03 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Bellarmine Knights vs Miami (OH) RedHawks: FAQ
Who is favored in Bellarmine Knights vs Miami (OH) RedHawks?+
Miami (OH) RedHawks: -20 on the spread and -10000 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 94%.
What are the best odds for Bellarmine Knights vs Miami (OH) RedHawks?+
When this analysis was written: Miami (OH) RedHawks -10000 at Everygame and Bellarmine Knights +1400 at Everygame on the moneyline; Miami (OH) RedHawks -20 (-110) at BetOnline.ag and Bellarmine Knights +20 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 159. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Miami (OH) RedHawks -20 and was -20 when this analysis was written; the total opened 159 and was 159.
Does GODDS have a pick for Bellarmine Knights vs Miami (OH) RedHawks?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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