Saint Peter's -7.5 against Binghamton, and the market's number is set.

Saint Peter's hosts Binghamton Thursday, and the market has already drawn its line. The Peacocks are -7.5 with a -343 moneyline, and the market probability sits at 74% for Saint Peter's, 26% for Binghamton. That's a heavy number for a team that just lost, but the market isn't blinking.

The case for Saint Peter's starts with its defense. The Peacocks allowed 66.0 points per game in their opener, and they held their opponent to a 26% field goal percentage. That's a defense that can smother a Binghamton offense that put up 60.0 points but gave up 86.0 on the other end. The Peacocks' offense struggled to score (42.0 PPG), but the market is betting the defense travels and the offense finds enough against a Bearcats team that just allowed 86.

Binghamton's argument is simple: it can score more than Saint Peter's has shown. The Bearcats shot 40.4% from the field and put up 60 points in their opener. If Saint Peter's offense stays stuck in the 40s, Binghamton doesn't need to be great to cover +7.5. The Bearcats' best path is a pace-up game where their 60-point output is enough to stay within a touchdown.

The number hasn't moved. Saint Peter's opened at -7.5 and sits at -7.5 across the board. The total moved from 136 to 136.5, a small tick toward the over. Best prices: Saint Peter's moneyline -330 at Bovada, Binghamton +265 at Bovada. Spread: both sides -110 at Bovada. Total 136.5: over -110 at Bovada, under -110 at Bovada. BetOnline.ag hangs 135.5, with the over at -115 and under at -105.

GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting at Bovada.