Davidson -11 vs Bradley: The Market Says 83%.

Davidson hosts Bradley Tuesday with the market firmly in the Wildcats' corner. The spread sits at -11, the moneyline at -675, and the market probability, margin removed, reads Davidson 83%, Bradley 17%. That's the number to beat if you're looking at either side.

Davidson's case is built on offense and form. The Wildcats are 2-0, riding a two-game win streak, scoring 82.0 points per game while allowing 68.5. They're shooting 52.8% from the field and have covered in their only ATS test this season, a 1-0 mark. The home floor and the efficiency gap make them the clear favorite.

Bradley's case is defense and a short memory. The Braves are 1-1, but they're allowing just 52.0 points per game, a number that keeps them in games even when the shots aren't falling. Their 38.9% field goal shooting is the concern, and they're 0-1 straight up on the moneyline, 0-1 against the spread and 0-1 on the total. The line has already moved toward them, from -12 to -11, which tells you the market respects that defense enough to trim the number.

The best prices are spread across the board. For the moneyline, Davidson is -675 and Bradley +460, both at Bovada. On the spread, Davidson -11 (-110) and Bradley +11 (-110) are both at BetOnline.ag. The total sits at 140, with the over -115 and the under -105 at BetOnline.ag. Bovada lists 140.5 at -110 both ways if you want the half point.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is there for you: Davidson -11 at BetOnline.ag, Bradley +11 at BetOnline.ag.