Sacred Heart -6 against Central Connecticut, and the line keeps shrinking.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Sacred Heart Pioneers -6 (moneyline -250)
- Market probability (margin removed): Sacred Heart Pioneers 69%, Central Connecticut St Blue Devils 31%
- Line since opening: Sacred Heart Pioneers -6.5 → -6 · Total 146.5 → 145
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Sacred Heart Pioneers -250 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Central Connecticut St Blue Devils +210 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Sacred Heart Pioneers -6 (-110) at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Central Connecticut St Blue Devils +6 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 145
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -103 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Sacred Heart hosts Central Connecticut on Thursday with the Pioneers priced as a 6-point favorite and a -250 moneyline at Bovada. The market gives Sacred Heart a 69% chance with the margin removed, and that number is the whole story: it sits one point shy of the threshold GODDS needs to put a pick on the board. Both sides have a case, and the number has been moving.
Sacred Heart's argument is simple and loud. The Pioneers are 2-1, scoring 88.0 points per game while allowing 64.7, and they've covered the spread in their only lined game at a 100% rate. Their 43.8% field goal shooting is the more efficient mark in this matchup, and they come in on a one-game win streak. The home side has the scoring margin and the market's respect.
Central Connecticut counters with the head-to-head. The Blue Devils won the last meeting 108-106 on Nov 24, and they're on a one-game win streak of their own. The problem is the profile: 61.0 points per game against 80.3 allowed is a losing margin, and 39.8% shooting from the field trails Sacred Heart. The case for the road side is the price and the history, not the scoring numbers.
The market has already leaned toward Central Connecticut. The spread moved from -6.5 to -6, the total dropped from 146.5 to 145, and the moneyline slipped from -262 to -250. Best prices: Sacred Heart -250 at Bovada, Central Connecticut +210 at Bovada. On the spread, Sacred Heart -6 (-110) at Everygame, Central Connecticut +6 (-105) at Bovada. On the total, over 145 (-110) at Bovada, under 145 (-103) at BetOnline.ag.
GODDS has no pick here because no side reaches 70% in its model. Whatever your read, the best number is waiting at the books above.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 12, 4:48 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Central Connecticut St Blue Devils vs Sacred Heart Pioneers: FAQ
Who is favored in Central Connecticut St Blue Devils vs Sacred Heart Pioneers?+
Sacred Heart Pioneers: -6 on the spread and -250 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 69%.
What are the best odds for Central Connecticut St Blue Devils vs Sacred Heart Pioneers?+
When this analysis was written: Sacred Heart Pioneers -250 at Bovada and Central Connecticut St Blue Devils +210 at Bovada on the moneyline; Sacred Heart Pioneers -6 (-110) at Everygame and Central Connecticut St Blue Devils +6 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -103 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 145. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Sacred Heart Pioneers -6.5 and was -6 when this analysis was written; the total opened 146.5 and was 145.
Does GODDS have a pick for Central Connecticut St Blue Devils vs Sacred Heart Pioneers?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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