Central Michigan 68, Northern Kentucky 57: the favorite lays an egg at -3
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Northern Kentucky Norse -3 (moneyline -160)
- Market probability (margin removed): Northern Kentucky Norse 60%, Central Michigan Chippewas 40%
- Line since opening: Northern Kentucky Norse -2.5 → -3 · Total 162.5 → 162
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Northern Kentucky Norse -160 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Central Michigan Chippewas +142 at BetUSBet at BetUS →
Spread
- Northern Kentucky Norse -3 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Central Michigan Chippewas +3 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 162
- Over -110 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Under -110 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Final: Central Michigan Chippewas 68, Northern Kentucky Norse 57
Against the closing line: Northern Kentucky Norse lost and did not cover -3 · Total 125, under 162
Game Recap
Central Michigan 68, Northern Kentucky 57. The Norse closed as -3 favorites and never looked the part. The market gave Northern Kentucky a 60% chance to win, but Central Michigan controlled this one from the jump and handed the home side a double-digit loss. The Chippewas came in as 40% underdogs on the moneyline and played like a team with nothing to lose. Northern Kentucky's offense stalled all afternoon, and the defense had no answer for Central Michigan's attack. The total of 162 never had a chance, with the game finishing at 125. The favorite lost outright and failed to cover -3, while the under cashed with plenty of room to spare. That's a brutal beat for anyone who backed the Norse.
Pre-Game Analysis
Northern Kentucky hosts Central Michigan on Saturday, and the market has a clear favorite: the Norse at -3 and -160 on the moneyline. With the margin removed, the market gives Northern Kentucky a 60% chance and Central Michigan 40%. That's a real edge in probability, but not a gap that clears the bar for a pick. The number has already moved from -2.5 to -3, so the market is leaning toward the home side even as the moneyline ticked from -165 to -160.
Central Michigan brings the stronger case on paper. The Chippewas are 3-0 and scoring 89.0 PPG while allowing just 68.7. They shoot 51.96% from the field, a number that travels. Their only loss in the last five came after a 4-0 start, and they've covered in their only lined game. The argument for the road side is simple: better record, better scoring margin, better shooting.
Northern Kentucky counters with a 2-0 mark against the spread and a 2-0 moneyline record. The Norse score 79.0 PPG but allow 99.8, which explains the 2-game losing streak. Their edge is situational: they beat Central Michigan 90-66 in the last meeting, and the spread move toward them suggests the market respects the home setting despite the defensive numbers.
The total opened at 162.5 and sits at 162, a small move toward the under. Best prices: Northern Kentucky -160 at Bovada on the moneyline; Central Michigan +142 at BetUS. On the spread, Northern Kentucky -3 (-110) at BetOnline.ag; Central Michigan +3 (-105) at Bovada. On the total, over and under 162 both -110 at BetOnline.ag.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting at the books above.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 14, 2:50 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Central Michigan Chippewas vs Northern Kentucky Norse: FAQ
Who is favored in Central Michigan Chippewas vs Northern Kentucky Norse?+
Northern Kentucky Norse: -3 on the spread and -160 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 60%.
What are the best odds for Central Michigan Chippewas vs Northern Kentucky Norse?+
When this analysis was written: Northern Kentucky Norse -160 at Bovada and Central Michigan Chippewas +142 at BetUS on the moneyline; Northern Kentucky Norse -3 (-110) at BetOnline.ag and Central Michigan Chippewas +3 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at BetOnline.ag and Under -110 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 162. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Northern Kentucky Norse -2.5 and was -3 when this analysis was written; the total opened 162.5 and was 162.
Does GODDS have a pick for Central Michigan Chippewas vs Northern Kentucky Norse?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Central Michigan Chippewas 68, Northern Kentucky Norse 57.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
More NCAAB Picks
Recent Results
UConn Huskies @ Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines spread -7
Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Auburn Tigers
Tulsa Golden Hurricane spread +6
Oklahoma Sooners @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Oklahoma Sooners spread -3.5
Michigan Wolverines @ Arizona Wildcats
Michigan Wolverines spread -1.5
Illinois Fighting Illini @ UConn Huskies
UConn Huskies spread +2
West Virginia Mountaineers @ Creighton Bluejays
Creighton Bluejays spread -1
Oklahoma Sooners @ Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears spread +1
Illinois St Redbirds @ Auburn Tigers
Illinois St Redbirds spread +7
Stanford Cardinal @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Stanford Cardinal spread -1
New Mexico Lobos @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
New Mexico Lobos spread -3.5