Charlotte 62, Seton Hall 68: the favorite covers at -4
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Seton Hall Pirates -4 (moneyline -200)
- Market probability (margin removed): Seton Hall Pirates 64%, Charlotte 49ers 36%
- Line since opening: Seton Hall Pirates -7 → -4 · Total 137.5 → 131
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Seton Hall Pirates -195 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Charlotte 49ers +174 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Spread
- Seton Hall Pirates -4 (-115) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Charlotte 49ers +4 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 131
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: Charlotte 49ers 62, Seton Hall Pirates 68
Against the closing line: Seton Hall Pirates won and covered -4 · Total 130, under 130.5
Game Recap
Charlotte 49ers 62, Seton Hall Pirates 68.
The Pirates' defense did what the preview hinted at, holding Charlotte to 62 points and making every possession feel like a chore. Seton Hall's home floor was the difference, and the market's 64% win probability for the Pirates proved accurate. The total landing on 130, just under the 130.5 closing line, was the final twist in a game that stayed physical and low-scoring from the opening tip.
Seton Hall, the favorite, won outright and covered -4, while the total went under 130.5. The books set the line, and the Pirates made them pay.
Pre-Game Analysis
Seton Hall and Charlotte both walk in 2-0, and the market still can't decide how much the Pirates' home floor is worth. Seton Hall is the favorite at -4 with a moneyline of -200, and the market probability, margin removed, sits at Seton Hall 64%, Charlotte 36%. That's a number that says the Pirates should win more often than not, but it doesn't come close to a side the books are willing to call a lock.
The case for Seton Hall starts on defense. The Pirates are allowing just 51.0 points per game and have won two straight, holding opponents to a 43.3% field goal rate. That's a team that makes every possession feel like a chore, and at home, with a -4 spread, the Pirates only need to control the pace and lean on that defense to cover.
The case for Charlotte is the offense. The 49ers are scoring 77.5 points per game and shooting 49.5% from the field, and they've won four straight dating back to last season. They're 1-0 against the spread and 1-0 on the moneyline, and they've already shown they can put points on the board in bunches. If Charlotte's shooting travels, the Pirates' defense gets tested in a way it hasn't been yet.
The number has moved. The spread opened at Seton Hall -7 and is now -4, a clear shift toward Charlotte, and the total dropped from 137.5 to 131, a move toward the under. The best moneyline price on Seton Hall is -195 at Bovada, and Charlotte's best is +174 at BetOnline.ag. The spread is -4 (-115) on Seton Hall and +4 (-105) on Charlotte, both at Bovada. The total sits at 131, with the over and under both -110 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play to hand you. If you've got a read, the best number is waiting at the book listed above.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 9, 8:27 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Charlotte 49ers vs Seton Hall Pirates: FAQ
Who is favored in Charlotte 49ers vs Seton Hall Pirates?+
Seton Hall Pirates: -4 on the spread and -200 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 64%.
What are the best odds for Charlotte 49ers vs Seton Hall Pirates?+
When this analysis was written: Seton Hall Pirates -195 at Bovada and Charlotte 49ers +174 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; Seton Hall Pirates -4 (-115) at Bovada and Charlotte 49ers +4 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 131. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Seton Hall Pirates -7 and was -4 when this analysis was written; the total opened 137.5 and was 131.
Does GODDS have a pick for Charlotte 49ers vs Seton Hall Pirates?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Charlotte 49ers 62, Seton Hall Pirates 68.
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