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Providence -11 against Colorado, and the market's split is real.

GODDSGODDS Analysis

No pick

No GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →

The market

  • Favorite: Providence Friars -11 (moneyline -674)
  • Market probability (margin removed): Providence Friars 84%, Colorado Buffaloes 16%
  • Line since opening: Providence Friars -9 → -11 · Total 151.5 → 155

Best prices when this analysis was written

Moneyline

Spread

Total 155

Providence hosts Colorado on Saturday with a number that demands attention. The Friars are -11 at Everygame and -674 on the moneyline, and the market gives Providence an 84% chance to win with the margin removed. That's a heavy price for a 2-1 team, and bettors on both sides have a case.

Providence's argument starts with defense. The Friars allow 59.3 points per game and hold opponents to 41.7% shooting from the field. They've won their last game and sit at 2-1, and their home crowd gets its first look at this group. The spread has climbed from -9 to -11, which tells you where the money has gone. If Providence controls the glass and turns Colorado over, the margin can get there.

Colorado counters with offense. The Buffaloes score 81.0 points per game and shoot 49.4% from the field, and they beat Providence 97-88 in the last meeting. They're 2-1 with a win streak and a 1-0 moneyline record, and their +11 at BetOnline.ag comes with a -104 price, the cheapest way to take the points. The moneyline has moved from -800 to -674, and that's sharp money on Colorado. The Buffaloes have the firepower to keep this within single digits.

The total has moved from 151.5 to 155, and the best over price is -110 at Bovada, with the under also -110 at Bovada. On the spread, Providence -11 is -110 at Everygame, and Colorado +11 is -104 at BetOnline.ag. The best moneyline prices are Providence -650 at Bovada and Colorado +505 at BetOnline.ag.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If your read is Providence, -650 at Bovada is the best number. If it's Colorado, +505 at BetOnline.ag is the top price.

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Odds Comparison

SportsbookBuffaloesFriarsSpreadO/U
BetOnline.ag
Bovada
BetUS
Everygame
Pinnacle (sharp line) fair+490-490-11(-103)155(O+101)

Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.

Odds as of Nov 14, 5:16 PM ET. Lines may have moved.

Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars: FAQ

Who is favored in Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars?+

Providence Friars: -11 on the spread and -674 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 84%.

What are the best odds for Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars?+

When this analysis was written: Providence Friars -650 at Bovada and Colorado Buffaloes +505 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; Providence Friars -11 (-110) at Everygame and Colorado Buffaloes +11 (-104) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 155. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.

How has the line moved?+

The spread opened Providence Friars -9 and was -11 when this analysis was written; the total opened 151.5 and was 155.

Does GODDS have a pick for Colorado Buffaloes vs Providence Friars?+

No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.

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