Duquesne -10 against Fort Wayne, and the line is already slipping.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Duquesne Dukes -10 (moneyline -500)
- Market probability (margin removed): Duquesne Dukes 80%, Fort Wayne Mastodons 20%
- Line since opening: Duquesne Dukes -11 → -10 · Total 151.5 → 153.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Duquesne Dukes -500 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Fort Wayne Mastodons +410 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Duquesne Dukes -10 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Fort Wayne Mastodons +10 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 153.5
- Over -115 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Under -105 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Duquesne opens its season as a double-digit favorite over Fort Wayne, and the market is already second-guessing the number. The Dukes sit at -10 after opening -11, with a moneyline of -500. Strip the margin out and the market hands Duquesne an 80% chance to win. That's a heavy price for a team that hasn't played a real game yet, and the number is drifting toward the underdog.
The case for Duquesne is simple: the market says this is a mismatch, and the Dukes carry a 1-0 ATS mark into the opener. They're the home team, the favorite, and the side the books are asking you to lay a big number with. If you believe the talent gap is real, -10 is the cheapest you've been able to get them.
The case for Fort Wayne is the number itself. The spread has moved from -11 to -10, and the total has climbed from 151.5 to 153.5. Both moves point the same direction: money is coming in on the underdog and on points. Fort Wayne gets a double-digit cushion against a team that hasn't proven anything yet. That's a real argument, even if it's not a loud one.
Duquesne -10 (-110) is the best price at BetOnline.ag, and Fort Wayne +10 (-110) is also at BetOnline.ag. On the moneyline, Duquesne -500 is at BetOnline.ag and Fort Wayne +410 is at Bovada. The total of 153.5 is at BetOnline.ag, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. Bovada hangs 152.5, over -120 and under +100.
GODDS has no pick on this game. Neither side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best numbers are sitting right there.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 3, 12:40 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Duquesne Dukes: FAQ
Who is favored in Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Duquesne Dukes?+
Duquesne Dukes: -10 on the spread and -500 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 80%.
What are the best odds for Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Duquesne Dukes?+
When this analysis was written: Duquesne Dukes -500 at BetOnline.ag and Fort Wayne Mastodons +410 at Bovada on the moneyline; Duquesne Dukes -10 (-110) at BetOnline.ag and Fort Wayne Mastodons +10 (-110) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -115 at BetOnline.ag and Under -105 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 153.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Duquesne Dukes -11 and was -10 when this analysis was written; the total opened 151.5 and was 153.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Fort Wayne Mastodons vs Duquesne Dukes?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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