Arizona St 85, Hofstra 63: the favorite covers at -18.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Arizona St Sun Devils -18.5 (moneyline -3500)
- Market probability (margin removed): Arizona St Sun Devils 93%, Hofstra Pride 7%
- Line since opening: Arizona St Sun Devils -16 → -18.5 · Total 134 → 133.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Arizona St Sun Devils -1800 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Hofstra Pride +1500 at BetUSBet at BetUS →
Spread
- Arizona St Sun Devils -18.5 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Hofstra Pride +18.5 (-105) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 133.5
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: Hofstra Pride 63, Arizona St Sun Devils 85
Against the closing line: Arizona St Sun Devils won and covered -18.5 · Total 148, over 133.5
Game Recap
Arizona St Sun Devils 85, Hofstra Pride 63. The market set the bar at -18.5 and Arizona St cleared it without drama. The Sun Devils came in scoring 82.5 PPG and allowing 64.0, and they delivered exactly that kind of separation. Hofstra never found a way to slow the game down or make the favorite uncomfortable. The moneyline closed at -3500 for a reason: this was a verdict, not a coin flip. Against the numbers, the favorite won outright and covered -18.5, and the total of 148 sailed over the closing 133.5. Arizona St made the market look sharp and then some.
Pre-Game Analysis
Arizona St is 2-0 and the market isn't waiting for a third game to decide. The Sun Devils are priced at -18.5 and the moneyline sits at -3500 after opening at -16. The market probability, margin removed, gives Arizona St 93% and Hofstra 7%. That's not a coin flip. That's a verdict.
The case for Arizona St is simple: it's scoring 82.5 PPG and allowing 64.0, it's on a 2-game win streak, and its last 4 games read W-W-W-W. It's 1-0 ATS and 1-0 on the moneyline. The Sun Devils shoot 49.15% from the field. That's a team that controls both ends and hasn't given bettors a reason to look away.
The case for Hofstra is that it's not a pushover. The Pride scores 77.5 PPG and allows just 55.5, and it shoots 48.38% from the field. That's a tighter defensive number than Arizona St's. Hofstra is 1-1 and comes off a loss, but it's 0-0 on the road, meaning this is a clean slate with no road baggage. The Pride has the shooting to keep this from turning into a track meet.
The line has moved from -16 to -18.5, toward Arizona St, while the total sits at 133.5 with no significant movement. Best prices: Arizona St moneyline -1800 at Bovada, Hofstra +1500 at BetUS. Spread: Arizona St -18.5 (-110) at Bovada, Hofstra +18.5 (-105) at BetOnline.ag. Total 133.5: Over -110 at Bovada, Under -110 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model. Whatever your read is, the best number is on the board.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 10, 8:12 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Hofstra Pride vs Arizona St Sun Devils: FAQ
Who is favored in Hofstra Pride vs Arizona St Sun Devils?+
Arizona St Sun Devils: -18.5 on the spread and -3500 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 93%.
What are the best odds for Hofstra Pride vs Arizona St Sun Devils?+
When this analysis was written: Arizona St Sun Devils -1800 at Bovada and Hofstra Pride +1500 at BetUS on the moneyline; Arizona St Sun Devils -18.5 (-110) at Bovada and Hofstra Pride +18.5 (-105) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 133.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Arizona St Sun Devils -16 and was -18.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 134 and was 133.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Hofstra Pride vs Arizona St Sun Devils?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Hofstra Pride 63, Arizona St Sun Devils 85.
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