Howard 65, Penn 78: the favorite covers at -5.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Pennsylvania Quakers -5.5 (moneyline -252)
- Market probability (margin removed): Pennsylvania Quakers 68%, Howard Bison 32%
- Line since opening: Pennsylvania Quakers -5.5 → -5.5 · Total 157 → 157
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Pennsylvania Quakers -245 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Howard Bison +205 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Pennsylvania Quakers -5.5 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Howard Bison +5.5 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 157
- Over -105 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Final: Howard Bison 65, Pennsylvania Quakers 78
Against the closing line: Pennsylvania Quakers won and covered -5.5 · Total 143, under 156
Game Recap
Howard Bison 65, Pennsylvania Quakers 78.
The Quakers made the market look sharp. Penn closed as a **5.5-point** favorite and won by **13**, covering with room to spare. Howard hung around early, but the Bison couldn't match Penn's efficiency down the stretch. The moneyline said Penn was a **68%** winner, and the Quakers played like it, pulling away when it mattered. The total told a different story: the market expected **156** points, but the two teams combined for just **143**. That's a **13-point** miss on the number, and the under cashed comfortably. Penn's defense tightened in the second half, and Howard's offense never found a rhythm. The favorite covered, the total went under, and the closing line held up on both sides.
Pre-Game Analysis
Howard heads to Penn as a 5.5-point underdog, and the market has made its call: the Quakers at -252 on the moneyline, which works out to a 68% win probability with the margin stripped out. That's a number that says Penn should win, but not one that says it's a sure thing. The Bison are priced at +205 on the moneyline, and the spread sits at -5.5 on both sides. This is a game where the data points in two directions, and the price reflects that tension.
Penn's case starts with the schedule. The Quakers are 0-1 after a loss, and they've allowed 112.0 points per game while scoring just 70.0. That's a brutal combination, but it's also one game. The advanced numbers show a 29.1% field goal percentage, which is the kind of number that screams regression to the mean. If Penn simply makes shots at a normal rate, the scoring gap closes fast. The home crowd and the bounce-back spot are real, and the market is clearly weighting them.
Howard's case is simpler: the Bison are 1-1 and on a 1-game win streak, scoring 78.0 points per game while allowing 77.5. Their 45.2% field goal percentage is the more sustainable number in this matchup, and they've already shown they can put points on the board. The catch is the 0-1 ATS record, which is a small sample but a reminder that this team hasn't covered yet. Still, a 5.5-point cushion is real breathing room for an underdog that scores in the high 70s.
The line hasn't moved: Penn opened at -5.5 and sits at -5.5, and the total is steady at 157. If you're on the favorite, -5.5 (-110) at BetOnline.ag is the best spread price, and -245 at Bovada is the shortest moneyline. On Howard, +5.5 (-105) at Bovada is the best number, and the moneyline is +205 at Bovada. On the total, Over 157 (-105) at Bovada and Under 157 (-110) at Everygame are the best available.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in its model, so there's no play to hand you. The market says Penn by 5.5; the data says Howard can score. Make your own call, and take the best price for it.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 9, 3:36 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Howard Bison vs Pennsylvania Quakers: FAQ
Who is favored in Howard Bison vs Pennsylvania Quakers?+
Pennsylvania Quakers: -5.5 on the spread and -252 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 68%.
What are the best odds for Howard Bison vs Pennsylvania Quakers?+
When this analysis was written: Pennsylvania Quakers -245 at Bovada and Howard Bison +205 at Bovada on the moneyline; Pennsylvania Quakers -5.5 (-110) at BetOnline.ag and Howard Bison +5.5 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -105 at Bovada and Under -110 at Everygame on the total of 157. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Pennsylvania Quakers -5.5 and was -5.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 157 and was 157.
Does GODDS have a pick for Howard Bison vs Pennsylvania Quakers?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Howard Bison 65, Pennsylvania Quakers 78.
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