Fordham -11.5 against Iona, and the line is already slipping.

Fordham hosts Iona as a big favorite Tuesday, and the market is pricing the Rams at -11.5 with a -750 moneyline. That's an 85% implied win probability for Fordham once the margin is removed. Iona sits at +11.5 and +534 on the moneyline. The gap is wide, but the number has been moving, which makes this a game worth watching before you commit.

The case for Fordham starts with scoring volume. The Rams put up 74.0 points per game and allow 79.0, and they've won their last game. They're also 1-0 against the spread in their own database. Fordham's 42.2% field goal shooting isn't flashy, but the market clearly respects the home side's ability to control the game. A -11.5 spread at -110 is the current price, and Bovada has both sides of that number.

The case for Iona is built on defense and a recent head-to-head result. The Gaels allow just 69.3 points per game while scoring 64.3, and they beat Fordham 76-71 in their last meeting on Nov. 14. Iona shoots 44.5% from the field, better than Fordham's mark. The Gaels are 2-1 overall, though they've dropped their last game. If you're looking at the underdog, +11.5 at -110 is available at Bovada, and +534 on the moneyline is the best price at BetOnline.ag.

The line has moved toward Iona since opening. The spread went from Fordham -12.5 to -11.5, the total dropped from 142.5 to 141.5, and the Fordham moneyline shifted from -850 to -750. That's sharp money on the Gaels. For the total, 141.5 is the number, with the over and under both at -110 at BetOnline.ag. Bovada lists the total at 141.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.