Jackson St gets 12 at Tulane. The market sees a mismatch.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Tulane Green Wave -12 (moneyline -920)
- Market probability (margin removed): Tulane Green Wave 85%, Jackson St Tigers 15%
- Line since opening: Tulane Green Wave -12 → -12 · Total 152.5 → 152.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Tulane Green Wave -850 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Jackson St Tigers +550 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Tulane Green Wave -12 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Jackson St Tigers +12 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 152.5
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Tulane hosts Jackson St on Thursday night, and the market has already made its call. The Green Wave are -12 on the spread and -920 on the moneyline, with the market probability after removing the margin sitting at 85% Tulane, 15% Jackson St. The total is 152.5. For bettors, the question isn't who's favored. It's whether the number is right.
Tulane's case is built on scoring. The Green Wave put up 100.0 PPG in their only game, a win, while allowing 98.0. They're shooting 46.97% from the field and riding a 1-game win streak. That kind of offensive output explains why the market has them as heavy favorites. The Green Wave haven't played at home yet this season, so this is their first home test.
Jackson St's argument is simpler: the line is double digits, and they get a full 12 points. The Tigers are 0-1, scoring just 42.0 PPG and allowing 76.0, with a 29.17% field goal percentage. Those numbers are ugly, but the spread is the great equalizer. A team that struggles to score can still cover if the favorite takes its foot off the gas. The Tigers are on a 1-game losing streak, and they'll need a better shooting night to stay within the number.
The line hasn't moved since opening: Tulane -12 to -12, total 152.5 to 152.5. Best prices: moneyline Tulane -850 at Bovada, Jackson St +550 at Bovada. Spread Tulane -12 (-110) at Bovada, Jackson St +12 (-110) at Bovada. Total 152.5: Over -110 at Bovada, Under -110 at Bovada. BetOnline.ag has Tulane -12.5 and a total of 152, so shop around.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is out there.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 5, 6:33 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Jackson St Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave: FAQ
Who is favored in Jackson St Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave?+
Tulane Green Wave: -12 on the spread and -920 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 85%.
What are the best odds for Jackson St Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave?+
When this analysis was written: Tulane Green Wave -850 at Bovada and Jackson St Tigers +550 at Bovada on the moneyline; Tulane Green Wave -12 (-110) at Bovada and Jackson St Tigers +12 (-110) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 152.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Tulane Green Wave -12 and was -12 when this analysis was written; the total opened 152.5 and was 152.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Jackson St Tigers vs Tulane Green Wave?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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