Saint Joseph's -11 vs Longwood, and the line keeps climbing.

Saint Joseph's opens its season as a double-digit favorite, and the market isn't shy about it. The Hawks are priced at -11 with a moneyline of -707, and the market probability, margin removed, sits at Saint Joseph's 83%, Longwood 17%. For a team that hasn't played a game yet, that's a hefty endorsement.

The case for Saint Joseph's starts with the number itself. The spread opened at -9.5 and has been bet up to -11, a clear signal that the market expects the Hawks to handle business at home. Their 42.95% field goal percentage from last season's data is the only shooting mark on record, but the line movement tells you bettors are looking past it.

Longwood arrives with a 1-0 record and a 1-game win streak, and the numbers are loud. The Lancers are scoring 123.0 points per game while allowing just 67.0, and their 59.77% field goal percentage is the kind of efficiency that makes a double-digit spread feel uncomfortable. The question is whether that production came against a defense anywhere near Saint Joseph's level.

The total has moved from 149 to 151.5, and the best price on the over is -110 at Bovada, with the under also -110 at Bovada. On the spread, the best number for Saint Joseph's is -11 (-105) at Bovada, while Longwood backers get +11 (-110) at BetOnline.ag. On the moneyline, Bovada offers the best price on both sides: -700 on the Hawks and +475 on the Lancers.

GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no official play. If you have a read, the best numbers are on the board at Bovada and BetOnline.ag.