LSU 90, Louisiana Tech 50: the favorite covers at -29.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: LSU Tigers -29.5 (moneyline -100000)
- Market probability (margin removed): LSU Tigers 98%, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 2%
- Line since opening: LSU Tigers -29.5 → -29.5 · Total 151.5 → 148
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- LSU Tigers -100000 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +4500 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- LSU Tigers -29.5 (-105) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +29.5 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 148
- Over -110 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Under -110 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Final: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 50, LSU Tigers 90
Against the closing line: LSU Tigers won and covered -29.5 · Total 140, under 148
Game Recap
LSU Tigers 90, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 50. The Tigers left no doubt, turning a -29.5 closing line into a blowout that was never in question. LSU's offense, averaging 96.0 points per game coming in, stayed on script while the defense clamped down on a Louisiana Tech side that never found a rhythm. The market gave LSU a 98% chance to win outright, and the Tigers validated every bit of that with a 40-point margin. Against the numbers: LSU covered the -29.5 with room to spare, and the total of 140 landed well under the closing 148. The favorite won outright, covered, and the under cashed. That's a clean sweep for the side that the odds said would dominate.
Pre-Game Analysis
LSU hosts Louisiana Tech Monday as a -29.5 favorite, and the market has already made up its mind. The moneyline sits at -100000 on the Tigers, with the Bulldogs at +4500. Strip out the margin and the market gives LSU a 98% chance to win. That's the price of admission. The real question is whether the number is right, and the data cuts both ways.
LSU is 2-0 and scoring 96.0 points per game while allowing 54.0. The Tigers are shooting 53.9% from the field and have won both games on their schedule. That's the case for the favorite: a team that scores at will against a Louisiana Tech defense allowing 46.0 per game. If LSU's shooting holds, the margin can get ugly fast.
Louisiana Tech is also 2-0, scoring 80.5 per game and allowing just 46.0. The Bulldogs are shooting 52.3% from the field and have won five of their last six, with an ATS record of 1-1. That's the case for the underdog: a team that defends, shoots efficiently, and has covered half its games. A 29.5-point cushion is a lot to give a team that's been this stingy.
The spread hasn't moved since opening at -29.5. The total has, dropping from 151.5 to 148. Best prices: LSU -29.5 (-105) at BetOnline.ag, Louisiana Tech +29.5 (-110) at Bovada. The total is 148, with the over and under both -110 at BetOnline.ag. The moneyline is -100000 on LSU and +4500 on Louisiana Tech, both at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 9, 6:46 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers: FAQ
Who is favored in Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers?+
LSU Tigers: -29.5 on the spread and -100000 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 98%.
What are the best odds for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers?+
When this analysis was written: LSU Tigers -100000 at Bovada and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +4500 at Bovada on the moneyline; LSU Tigers -29.5 (-105) at BetOnline.ag and Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +29.5 (-110) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at BetOnline.ag and Under -110 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 148. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened LSU Tigers -29.5 and was -29.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 151.5 and was 148.
Does GODDS have a pick for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs LSU Tigers?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 50, LSU Tigers 90.
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