Loyola Marymount -1 at Troy, and the line is already sliding.

Loyola Marymount opened as a 1.5-point favorite at Troy and the number has been cut to -1. The market gives the Lions a 51% chance with the margin removed, which tells you this is a coin flip dressed up as a favorite. For a game with no clear side, that's exactly the kind of line that moves on every piece of news.

The case for the Lions is simple: they're scoring 98.5 points per game and shooting 50.3% from the field. They also beat Troy 74-63 the last time these teams met. A team that puts up that kind of number and has already handled this opponent has a real argument as the small favorite.

Troy's argument is the other end of the floor. The Trojans are allowing 81.0 points per game, but they're at home for the first time this season, and their opponent is playing its first road game. Troy's 0-2 start includes an 0-1 ATS mark, so the market has been ahead of them, but the line has moved toward Troy since opening, from +1.5 to +1. That's not noise.

The total has dropped from 148.5 to 145.5, and the current number is 145.5 at most books. If you're on the over or under, the best price is -110 at Bovada for both sides. On the spread, Troy +1 is -105 at Bovada, while Loyola Marymount -1 is -110 at BetOnline.ag. On the moneyline, Troy is -105 at Bovada and the Lions are -115 at Bovada.

GODDS has no pick on this game. Neither side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play here. If you have a read, take the best number on your side and let the market prove you right.