Le Moyne -2.5 vs Manhattan: The Market Sees a Coin Flip
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Le Moyne Dolphins -2.5 (moneyline -137)
- Market probability (margin removed): Le Moyne Dolphins 56%, Manhattan Jaspers 44%
- Line since opening: Le Moyne Dolphins -2.5 → -2.5 · Total 148 → 147.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Le Moyne Dolphins -135 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Manhattan Jaspers +120 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Le Moyne Dolphins -2.5 (-105) at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Manhattan Jaspers +2.5 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 147.5
- Over -103 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Le Moyne hosts Manhattan on Saturday with the Dolphins priced as a -2.5 favorite and a -137 moneyline. The market probability, margin removed, sits at Le Moyne 56%, Manhattan 44%. That's a two-possession game on paper, and the number hasn't budged off the opener. This is a spot where the price tells you more than the records do.
The case for Le Moyne starts with pace and shot quality. The Dolphins score 76.0 points per game and shoot 46.2% from the field, and they come in on a one-game win streak after an L-L-W stretch. They've allowed 76.0 per game, so this is a team that plays fast and gives it back on the other end. The home floor and the better shooting percentage are the real arguments here.
The case for Manhattan is the number itself. The Jaspers are 1-1-0 ATS and 1-1 on the moneyline, and they've already shown they can hang around against the spread. Their 64.3 points per game and 41.4% shooting are the weaker side of this matchup, but they've allowed 73.0 per game, which is tighter than Le Moyne's mark. The Jaspers are also on a one-game win streak and have covered in half their lined games. At +2.5, they only need to stay within one possession.
The total is where the movement lives. It opened at 148 and dropped to 147.5, a small tick toward the under. Manhattan's 0-2-0 O/U record backs that direction. On the spread, Le Moyne is -2.5 (-105) at Everygame, while Manhattan is +2.5 (-110) at Bovada. On the moneyline, Le Moyne is -135 at Everygame and Manhattan is +120 at Bovada. On the total, the over is -103 at BetOnline.ag and the under is -110 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best numbers are above.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 14, 5:16 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Manhattan Jaspers vs Le Moyne Dolphins: FAQ
Who is favored in Manhattan Jaspers vs Le Moyne Dolphins?+
Le Moyne Dolphins: -2.5 on the spread and -137 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 56%.
What are the best odds for Manhattan Jaspers vs Le Moyne Dolphins?+
When this analysis was written: Le Moyne Dolphins -135 at Everygame and Manhattan Jaspers +120 at Bovada on the moneyline; Le Moyne Dolphins -2.5 (-105) at Everygame and Manhattan Jaspers +2.5 (-110) at Bovada on the spread; Over -103 at BetOnline.ag and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 147.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Le Moyne Dolphins -2.5 and was -2.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 148 and was 147.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Manhattan Jaspers vs Le Moyne Dolphins?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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