UMass Lowell 63, Marist 61: the favorite covers at -1.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: UMass Lowell River Hawks -1.5 (moneyline -125)
- Market probability (margin removed): UMass Lowell River Hawks 53%, Marist Red Foxes 47%
- Line since opening: UMass Lowell River Hawks -1.5 → -1.5 · Total 142 → 142
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- UMass Lowell River Hawks -125 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Marist Red Foxes +105 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- UMass Lowell River Hawks -1.5 (-115) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Marist Red Foxes +1.5 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 142
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: Marist Red Foxes 61, UMass Lowell River Hawks 63
Against the closing line: UMass Lowell River Hawks won and covered -1.5 · Total 124, under 142
Game Recap
UMass Lowell 63, Marist 61. The River Hawks won it by two, and the market had this one pegged as a coin flip from the jump. The close sat at UMass Lowell -1.5, and the number never moved off the opener. That's a one-possession game on paper, and it played out that way on the floor. Marist kept it within reach all afternoon, but the River Hawks did just enough to stay in front when it counted. The total told a different story: the market closed at 142, and the two teams combined for 124. The under cashed with room to spare. UMass Lowell, the favorite, won outright and covered -1.5. The total went under 142.
Pre-Game Analysis
UMass Lowell and Marist meet Sunday with the market calling it close to a coin flip. The River Hawks are favored at -1.5, and with the margin removed, the market probability sits at UMass Lowell 53%, Marist 47%. That's a one-possession game on paper, and the number hasn't budged since opening. For bettors, this is a spot where the data on both sides tells a different story than the price.
UMass Lowell's case is built on offense. The River Hawks are 2-0 and scoring 96.0 points per game while allowing just 59.0. They're shooting 54.2% from the field as a team, and they've won two straight. The pace and efficiency numbers jump off the page, and if they dictate tempo, the margin could stretch. But they're 0-1 against the spread in their own database, a reminder that covering isn't the same as winning.
Marist counters with a defense that's been serviceable. The Red Foxes are 1-1 and allowing 74.5 points per game, while scoring 75.0. Their 40.7% field goal percentage is the concern; they've struggled to convert, and they're coming off a win but have alternated results in their last three (L-W-L). The case for Marist is simple: keep the game in the halfcourt, limit possessions, and let UMass Lowell's ATS struggles linger.
The line opened at -1.5 and hasn't moved. The total sits at 142, also unchanged. Best prices: moneyline UMass Lowell -125 at Bovada, Marist +105 at Bovada. Spread UMass Lowell -1.5 (-115) at Bovada, Marist +1.5 (-105) at Bovada. Total 142: Over -110 at Bovada, Under -110 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting at Bovada.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 8, 11:35 AM ET. Lines may have moved.
Marist Red Foxes vs UMass Lowell River Hawks: FAQ
Who is favored in Marist Red Foxes vs UMass Lowell River Hawks?+
UMass Lowell River Hawks: -1.5 on the spread and -125 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 53%.
What are the best odds for Marist Red Foxes vs UMass Lowell River Hawks?+
When this analysis was written: UMass Lowell River Hawks -125 at Bovada and Marist Red Foxes +105 at Bovada on the moneyline; UMass Lowell River Hawks -1.5 (-115) at Bovada and Marist Red Foxes +1.5 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 142. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened UMass Lowell River Hawks -1.5 and was -1.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 142 and was 142.
Does GODDS have a pick for Marist Red Foxes vs UMass Lowell River Hawks?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Marist Red Foxes 61, UMass Lowell River Hawks 63.
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