Marshall 71, Youngstown State 74: the under hits as the Penguins cover +1
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Market probability (margin removed): Youngstown St Penguins 50%, Marshall Thundering Herd 50%
- Line since opening: Youngstown St Penguins 0 → 0 · Total 160 → 158.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Youngstown St Penguins -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Marshall Thundering Herd -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Youngstown St Penguins 0 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Marshall Thundering Herd 0 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 158.5
- Over -105 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BetUSBet at BetUS →
Final: Marshall Thundering Herd 71, Youngstown St Penguins 74
Against the closing line: Total 145, under 158.5
Game Recap
Marshall 71, Youngstown State 74. The Thundering Herd brought the scoring punch, but the Penguins had the last word. Marshall's 80.7 points per game and 47.4% field goal rate kept them in it, yet Youngstown State found enough stops and timely buckets to flip a coin-flip game. The spread closed at 0, with both moneylines at -110, so the outcome was always going to hinge on who wanted it more down the stretch. The Penguins did. Against the numbers, the total was the story: it closed at 158.5, but the two teams combined for just 145, sailing under. The favorite? There wasn't one. Youngstown State covered +1, and the under cashed with room to spare.
Pre-Game Analysis
Marshall and Youngstown State are 1-2, both on two-game losing streaks, and the books can't separate them. The spread sits at 0, the moneyline is -110 on each side, and the market probability after removing the margin is 50/50. No favorite. No consensus. Just two teams with something to prove and a number that reflects it.
The case for Marshall starts with scoring: 80.7 points per game and a 47.4% field goal rate. The Thundering Herd are also 2-0 against the spread this season, a 100% cover rate. That's a team that has delivered for bettors even when the wins haven't followed. If you believe the offense travels, the Herd have the profile.
The case for Youngstown State is defense at the point of attack. The Penguins allow 83.7 points per game, but they've been tested and they're at home for the first time this season. Their 42.7% field goal rate is the weaker mark, but the home floor and the chance to stop a two-game slide give them a real argument. They've also seen one total go over, so the pace hasn't been the problem.
The total opened at 160 and has moved to 158.5, a clear drift toward the under. The spread hasn't moved off 0. Best prices: both moneylines are -110 at Bovada. Both spread sides are 0 (-110) at BetOnline.ag. On the total, the over 158.5 is -105 at Bovada and the under 158.5 is -110 at BetUS. If your read is the over, Bovada has the better number. If it's the under, BetUS is the spot.
GODDS has no pick here. Neither side reaches 70% in its model, so there's nothing to hand you. The market says coin flip. Make your own call and take the best price for it.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 14, 11:29 AM ET. Lines may have moved.
Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown St Penguins: FAQ
What are the best odds for Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown St Penguins?+
When this analysis was written: Youngstown St Penguins -110 at Bovada and Marshall Thundering Herd -110 at Bovada on the moneyline; Youngstown St Penguins 0 (-110) at BetOnline.ag and Marshall Thundering Herd 0 (-110) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -105 at Bovada and Under -110 at BetUS on the total of 158.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Youngstown St Penguins 0 and was 0 when this analysis was written; the total opened 160 and was 158.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Marshall Thundering Herd vs Youngstown St Penguins?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Marshall Thundering Herd 71, Youngstown St Penguins 74.
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