West Virginia -24.5 vs Mercer, and the line is slipping.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: West Virginia Mountaineers -24.5 (moneyline -10000)
- Market probability (margin removed): West Virginia Mountaineers 95%, Mercer Bears 5%
- Line since opening: West Virginia Mountaineers -26 → -24.5 · Total 150.5 → 151.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- West Virginia Mountaineers -10000 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Mercer Bears +1787 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Spread
- West Virginia Mountaineers -24.5 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Mercer Bears +24.5 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 151.5
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -107 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
West Virginia hosts Mercer as a -24.5 favorite, and the market hands the Mountaineers a 95% win probability with the margin removed. That's the price of admission: a top-tier favorite against a team that hasn't played a true road game yet. The moneyline sits at -10000, so the only real question is the number, not the winner.
West Virginia's case is pure separation. The Mountaineers are 2-0 on a 2-game win streak, scoring 91.0 PPG while allowing just 49.5, a scoring gap of more than 40 points a night. They're shooting 51.2% from the field, and their last five games read W-W-W-W-W. That's a team turning possessions into points and turning opponents into long nights.
Mercer's case is that it hasn't blinked against the number. The Bears are 2-2, scoring 82.5 PPG and allowing 82.0, and they've covered in their only lined game, a 1-0-0 ATS mark. They're also 1-0 on the moneyline and riding a 1-game win streak after a W-L-L-W-W stretch. The Bears shoot 43.8% from the field, and they've been competitive enough to keep their games within reach.
The number has moved. The spread opened at West Virginia -26 and sits at -24.5, drifting toward Mercer. The total climbed from 150.5 to 151.5, toward the over. Best prices: West Virginia -24.5 (-110) at Bovada, Mercer +24.5 (-110) at Bovada, over 151.5 (-110) at Bovada, under 151.5 (-107) at BetOnline.ag, and the moneyline at -10000 / +1787 at BetOnline.ag.
GODDS has no pick here. No side clears 70% in the model, so there's no play to hand you. Find your number and take the best of it.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 12, 6:29 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Mercer Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers: FAQ
Who is favored in Mercer Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers?+
West Virginia Mountaineers: -24.5 on the spread and -10000 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 95%.
What are the best odds for Mercer Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers?+
When this analysis was written: West Virginia Mountaineers -10000 at BetOnline.ag and Mercer Bears +1787 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; West Virginia Mountaineers -24.5 (-110) at Bovada and Mercer Bears +24.5 (-110) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -107 at BetOnline.ag on the total of 151.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened West Virginia Mountaineers -26 and was -24.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 150.5 and was 151.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Mercer Bears vs West Virginia Mountaineers?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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