Miss Valley St 64, Washington 77: the Huskies win but fail to cover -31.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Washington Huskies -31.5 (moneyline -10000)
- Market probability (margin removed): Washington Huskies 94%, Miss Valley St Delta Devils 6%
- Line since opening: Washington Huskies -33.5 → -31.5 · Total 154 → 153
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Washington Huskies -10000 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Miss Valley St Delta Devils +1600 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Spread
- Washington Huskies -31.5 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Miss Valley St Delta Devils +31.5 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 153
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: Miss Valley St Delta Devils 64, Washington Huskies 77
Against the closing line: Washington Huskies won and did not cover -31.5 · Total 141, under 153
Game Recap
Miss Valley St Delta Devils 64, Washington Huskies 77. Washington got the win, but the Huskies never came close to covering the -31.5 spread. The market had already decided this one, with a -10000 moneyline and a 94% implied chance after the margin was removed. The Huskies came in averaging 90.0 points per game, but they finished with 77 against a Miss Valley St team that kept this within 13. That's a far cry from the blowout the number demanded. Against the numbers, Washington won outright but did not cover -31.5, and the total of 141 went under 153. The market got the winner right and the margin wrong.
Pre-Game Analysis
Washington is 1-0 and priced at -31.5 against Miss Valley St, with the market giving the Huskies a 94% chance after the margin is removed. The moneyline sits at -10000. That's the number bettors are staring at: a game the market has already decided, and a spread that still has to be paid.
Washington's case starts with 90.0 points per game and a 46.3% field goal rate. The Huskies are on a one-game win streak and have allowed 76.0 points. The offense has room to cover a number this size, and the market's 94% probability backs the idea that Washington controls the game from the opening tip.
Miss Valley St's case is the number itself. The Delta Devils are 0-1, scoring 57.0 per game and allowing 84.0, with a 36.2% field goal rate. That profile doesn't scream upset, but +31.5 means Washington has to win by 32 or more. One cold shooting stretch from the Huskies and the back door stays open. The line has already moved from -33.5 to -31.5, which tells you money has come toward the underdog.
The total has slipped from 154 to 153. For the spread, the best price on Washington is -31.5 (-110) at Bovada, and the best price on Miss Valley St is +31.5 (-110) at Bovada. On the moneyline, Everygame lists Washington -10000 and Miss Valley St +1600. On the total of 153, Bovada has the over at -110 and the under at -110.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no call to make. If you have a read, the best number is waiting at Bovada for the spread and the total, and Everygame for the moneyline.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 9, 8:27 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Miss Valley St Delta Devils vs Washington Huskies: FAQ
Who is favored in Miss Valley St Delta Devils vs Washington Huskies?+
Washington Huskies: -31.5 on the spread and -10000 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 94%.
What are the best odds for Miss Valley St Delta Devils vs Washington Huskies?+
When this analysis was written: Washington Huskies -10000 at Everygame and Miss Valley St Delta Devils +1600 at Everygame on the moneyline; Washington Huskies -31.5 (-110) at Bovada and Miss Valley St Delta Devils +31.5 (-110) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 153. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Washington Huskies -33.5 and was -31.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 154 and was 153.
Does GODDS have a pick for Miss Valley St Delta Devils vs Washington Huskies?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Miss Valley St Delta Devils 64, Washington Huskies 77.
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