Rhode Island -6 against Monmouth, and the line keeps climbing.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Rhode Island Rams -6 (moneyline -260)
- Market probability (margin removed): Rhode Island Rams 70%, Monmouth Hawks 30%
- Line since opening: Rhode Island Rams -5.5 → -6 · Total 145 → 144.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Rhode Island Rams -255 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Monmouth Hawks +225 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Rhode Island Rams -6 (-110) at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Monmouth Hawks +6 (-105) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 144.5
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Rhode Island hosts Monmouth Saturday as a -6 favorite, and the market has already made its stance clear. The spread opened at -5.5 and moved to -6. The moneyline sits at -260 for the Rams, with the Hawks at +220. Strip out the margin and the market gives Rhode Island a 70% chance to win. That's the number the books are hanging their hats on, and it's why this game sits right on the edge of a decision.
The case for Rhode Island starts with scoring. The Rams put up 103.0 points per game and allow just 59.0, a 44-point gap that jumps off the page. They're shooting 55.2% from the field as a team. That kind of efficiency turns a six-point spread into a blowout if Monmouth can't keep pace. Rhode Island is 1-0 and riding a one-game win streak, and the line movement says bettors see more of the same.
The case for Monmouth is simple: the Hawks are 1-0 against the spread this season, and they've already shown they can hang around a number. They're scoring 63.0 points per game and allowing 78.0, but their 42.9% field goal shooting leaves room for a better performance. The Hawks are 0-1 straight up, but their ATS record says they've been undervalued once already. At +6, they only need to stay within two possessions.
The number has moved toward Rhode Island on the spread (-5.5 to -6) and toward the under on the total (145 to 144.5). Best prices: Rhode Island moneyline -255 at BetOnline.ag, Monmouth moneyline +225 at Bovada. On the spread, Rhode Island -6 (-110) at Everygame, Monmouth +6 (-105) at BetOnline.ag. Total 144.5, over and under both -110 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 7, 3:02 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Monmouth Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams: FAQ
Who is favored in Monmouth Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams?+
Rhode Island Rams: -6 on the spread and -260 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 70%.
What are the best odds for Monmouth Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams?+
When this analysis was written: Rhode Island Rams -255 at BetOnline.ag and Monmouth Hawks +225 at Bovada on the moneyline; Rhode Island Rams -6 (-110) at Everygame and Monmouth Hawks +6 (-105) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 144.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Rhode Island Rams -5.5 and was -6 when this analysis was written; the total opened 145 and was 144.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Monmouth Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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