Northern Colorado 63, Arizona State 90: the favorite covers at -19.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Arizona St Sun Devils -19 (moneyline -3939)
- Market probability (margin removed): Arizona St Sun Devils 93%, N Colorado Bears 7%
- Line since opening: Arizona St Sun Devils -15 → -19 · Total 150 → 143.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Arizona St Sun Devils -3500 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- N Colorado Bears +1356 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Spread
- Arizona St Sun Devils -19 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- N Colorado Bears +19 (-108) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 143.5
- Over -110 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Under -105 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: N Colorado Bears 63, Arizona St Sun Devils 90
Against the closing line: Arizona St Sun Devils won and covered -19.5 · Total 153, over 143.5
Game Recap
Arizona State Sun Devils 90, Northern Colorado Bears 63. The Sun Devils left no doubt, turning a massive -19.5 closing line into a blowout. The market pegged Arizona State at 93% to win outright, and the home side delivered with a performance that was never in question. The total of 143.5 was blown past as the two teams combined for 153 points. Against the numbers, the favorite won outright and covered -19.5, while the total went over 143.5. The closing moneyline of -3939 proved accurate as Arizona State controlled from start to finish.
Pre-Game Analysis
Arizona State is 1-0 and priced like a team that expects to stay perfect. The Sun Devils are -19 against Northern Colorado, with a moneyline of -3939. The market probability, margin removed, sits at 93% for Arizona State and 7% for the Bears. This is a game bettors circle for one reason: the number is massive, and the market is daring you to disagree.
The case for Arizona State starts with what it showed in its opener. The Sun Devils scored 75 points and allowed 65 in a win, and now they get a home game against a Northern Colorado team that hasn't put a number on the board yet. The line has moved from -15 to -19, and the total has dropped from 150 to 143.5. The market is telling you Arizona State controls this game on both ends.
The case for Northern Colorado is the moneyline move. Arizona State opened at -4500 and has been bet down to -3939. That's sharp money on the Bears, and it's the only number on the board moving in their direction. If you're looking for a reason to take the points, that's the signal. The Bears are +19 at BetOnline.ag, and the market is starting to respect them.
The spread moved from -15 to -19, so the number you see now is not the number that opened. Best price on Arizona State -19 is -105 at Bovada. For Northern Colorado +19, it's -108 at BetOnline.ag. The total dropped from 150 to 143.5. Over 143.5 is -110 at Everygame, and under 143.5 is -105 at Bovada. On the moneyline, Arizona State is -3500 at BetOnline.ag, and Northern Colorado is +1356 at BetOnline.ag.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model, so there's no call to make. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 6, 7:52 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
N Colorado Bears vs Arizona St Sun Devils: FAQ
Who is favored in N Colorado Bears vs Arizona St Sun Devils?+
Arizona St Sun Devils: -19 on the spread and -3939 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 93%.
What are the best odds for N Colorado Bears vs Arizona St Sun Devils?+
When this analysis was written: Arizona St Sun Devils -3500 at BetOnline.ag and N Colorado Bears +1356 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; Arizona St Sun Devils -19 (-105) at Bovada and N Colorado Bears +19 (-108) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -110 at Everygame and Under -105 at Bovada on the total of 143.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Arizona St Sun Devils -15 and was -19 when this analysis was written; the total opened 150 and was 143.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for N Colorado Bears vs Arizona St Sun Devils?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
N Colorado Bears 63, Arizona St Sun Devils 90.
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