Bowling Green -14.5 vs Niagara, and the total keeps dropping
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Bowling Green Falcons -14.5 (moneyline -1749)
- Market probability (margin removed): Bowling Green Falcons 91%, Niagara Purple Eagles 9%
- Line since opening: Bowling Green Falcons -15 → -14.5 · Total 148 → 145.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Bowling Green Falcons -1700 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Niagara Purple Eagles +950 at BetUSBet at BetUS →
Spread
- Bowling Green Falcons -14.5 (-110) at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Niagara Purple Eagles +14.5 (-110) at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Total 145.5
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Bowling Green is 2-0 and priced like a team that expects to stay there. The Falcons are -14.5 on the spread and -1749 on the moneyline, and the market gives them a 91% chance to win with the margin removed. Niagara is 0-2 and on a two-game losing streak, so the question isn't who's favored. It's whether the number is right.
The case for Bowling Green is simple and loud. The Falcons score 85.5 points per game and allow 76.0. They're 2-0 against the spread, 2-0 on the moneyline, and they shoot 54.5% from the field. That's a team that's been controlling games on both ends, and the market has noticed.
The case for Niagara starts with the price. The Purple Eagles score just 56.5 points per game and allow 82.0, and they're 0-1 against the spread. But they're getting +14.5 and +950 on the moneyline, and that's a lot of points for a favorite that hasn't played a home game yet. If Bowling Green's 54.5% shooting cools off, the cover gets interesting.
The total has moved from 148 to 145.5, and that's the sharpest signal on the board. The spread has been stable, with Bowling Green going from -15 to -14.5. The best moneyline price on Bowling Green is -1700 at BetOnline.ag. The best price on Niagara is +950 at BetUS. Both sides of the spread sit at -110 at Everygame, and the total is -110 on both sides at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 12, 1:05 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Niagara Purple Eagles vs Bowling Green Falcons: FAQ
Who is favored in Niagara Purple Eagles vs Bowling Green Falcons?+
Bowling Green Falcons: -14.5 on the spread and -1749 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 91%.
What are the best odds for Niagara Purple Eagles vs Bowling Green Falcons?+
When this analysis was written: Bowling Green Falcons -1700 at BetOnline.ag and Niagara Purple Eagles +950 at BetUS on the moneyline; Bowling Green Falcons -14.5 (-110) at Everygame and Niagara Purple Eagles +14.5 (-110) at Everygame on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 145.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Bowling Green Falcons -15 and was -14.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 148 and was 145.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Niagara Purple Eagles vs Bowling Green Falcons?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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