Saint Mary's -13 against North Dakota St, and the line keeps climbing.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Saint Mary's Gaels -13 (moneyline -1048)
- Market probability (margin removed): Saint Mary's Gaels 87%, North Dakota St Bison 13%
- Line since opening: Saint Mary's Gaels -12 → -13 · Total 144.5 → 148
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Saint Mary's Gaels -1000 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- North Dakota St Bison +675 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Spread
- Saint Mary's Gaels -13 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- North Dakota St Bison +13 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 148
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Saint Mary's opened as a 12-point favorite and the market has pushed it to -13. The moneyline sits at -1048, with the market giving the Gaels an 87% chance to win. North Dakota St gets 13 points and a 13% shot. That's the price of admission. Now the work.
The case for Saint Mary's: the Gaels are 1-0, scoring 90.0 points per game while allowing 85.0. They shoot 50% from the field as a team. That's a real number against a Bison defense that hasn't been tested on the road yet. The line move from -12 to -13 says the market sees the gap widening, not closing. Saint Mary's has the home floor and the efficiency to turn a 13-point spread into a comfortable cover if the shooting holds.
The case for North Dakota St: the Bison are also 1-0, also scoring 90.0 per game, and they're allowing just 59.0. They shoot 52.5% from the field, better than Saint Mary's 50%. That's the best argument on the board: a team that scores at the same clip as the favorite, shoots a higher percentage, and gets 13 points. The Bison haven't played a road game yet, but the data says they can hang around.
The total moved from 144.5 to 148, and both sides sit at -110. On the spread, Saint Mary's -13 is -110 at BetOnline.ag, while North Dakota St +13 is -105 at Bovada. On the moneyline, Saint Mary's is -1000 at BetOnline.ag and North Dakota St is +675 at Everygame. The best number depends on your read, not ours.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you're playing it, the best prices above are where you shop.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 4, 4:09 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
North Dakota St Bison vs Saint Mary's Gaels: FAQ
Who is favored in North Dakota St Bison vs Saint Mary's Gaels?+
Saint Mary's Gaels: -13 on the spread and -1048 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 87%.
What are the best odds for North Dakota St Bison vs Saint Mary's Gaels?+
When this analysis was written: Saint Mary's Gaels -1000 at BetOnline.ag and North Dakota St Bison +675 at Everygame on the moneyline; Saint Mary's Gaels -13 (-110) at BetOnline.ag and North Dakota St Bison +13 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 148. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Saint Mary's Gaels -12 and was -13 when this analysis was written; the total opened 144.5 and was 148.
Does GODDS have a pick for North Dakota St Bison vs Saint Mary's Gaels?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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