Murray St -23.5 vs Northwestern St, and the market says it's not close.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Murray St Racers -23.5 (moneyline -10000)
- Market probability (margin removed): Murray St Racers 94%, Northwestern St Demons 6%
- Line since opening: Murray St Racers -23.5 → -23.5 · Total 154.5 → 155.5
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Murray St Racers -10000 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Northwestern St Demons +1400 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Spread
- Murray St Racers -23.5 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Northwestern St Demons +23.5 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 155.5
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Murray St is -23.5 against Northwestern St on Saturday, and the market isn't pretending this is a coin flip. The Racers are -10000 on the moneyline at Everygame, with the Demons +1400. Strip out the margin and the market gives Murray St a 94% chance to win. That's what a 1-0 team hosting an 0-2 team looks like on the board.
The case for Murray St starts with scoring: 94.0 points per game while allowing 64.0. The Racers are 1-0 on the moneyline and 1-0 against the spread, and they're shooting 51.6% from the field. That's a team converting at a high rate and covering the number when it does. The one blemish is the total: 0-1 on over/unders.
The case for Northwestern St is thinner but real. The Demons are 0-2, scoring 54.5 and allowing 84.5, with a 33.9% field goal rate. They're 0-1 against the spread and 0-1 on the moneyline. The argument for the underdog side is simple: 23.5 points is a lot of cushion, and the Demons have already seen a spread number once this season. They didn't cover it, but the price is the price.
The spread hasn't moved since opening, sitting at Murray St -23.5. The total moved from 154.5 to 155.5, toward the over. Best prices: Murray St -23.5 at -110 with BetOnline.ag, Northwestern St +23.5 at -105 with Bovada. On the moneyline, Everygame has both sides: Murray St -10000, Northwestern St +1400. The total of 155.5 is -110 on both sides at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 7, 7:27 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Northwestern St Demons vs Murray St Racers: FAQ
Who is favored in Northwestern St Demons vs Murray St Racers?+
Murray St Racers: -23.5 on the spread and -10000 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 94%.
What are the best odds for Northwestern St Demons vs Murray St Racers?+
When this analysis was written: Murray St Racers -10000 at Everygame and Northwestern St Demons +1400 at Everygame on the moneyline; Murray St Racers -23.5 (-110) at BetOnline.ag and Northwestern St Demons +23.5 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 155.5. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Murray St Racers -23.5 and was -23.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 154.5 and was 155.5.
Does GODDS have a pick for Northwestern St Demons vs Murray St Racers?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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