Butler -3.5 against Pittsburgh, and the market says 60%.
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Butler Bulldogs -3.5 (moneyline -160)
- Market probability (margin removed): Butler Bulldogs 60%, Pittsburgh Panthers 40%
- Line since opening: Butler Bulldogs -3.5 → -3.5 · Total 158 → 159
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Butler Bulldogs -160 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Pittsburgh Panthers +140 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Spread
- Butler Bulldogs -3.5 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Pittsburgh Panthers +3.5 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Total 159
- Over -105 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Butler and Pittsburgh meet Friday with the market firmly in the Bulldogs' corner. Butler is priced at -160 on the moneyline and -3.5 on the spread, and the market probability, margin removed, sits at 60% Butler, 40% Pittsburgh. That's a clear favorite, but it's not a number that clears the bar for a pick. The total opened at 158 and has ticked to 159, a small move toward the over.
The case for Butler starts with scoring. The Bulldogs put up 92.0 points per game and allow 75.0, and they've covered the spread in their only lined game this season, a 1-0 ATS mark. Their 46.6% field goal shooting is the higher of the two teams. The knock: they're on a 1-game losing streak and have played all their games away from home so far, with a 0-0 home record. The market is asking them to win by a margin for the first time in their own gym.
Pittsburgh's argument is defense and form. The Panthers are 3-0 and on a 3-game win streak, and they're allowing just 64.7 points per game while scoring 85.7. They've also covered in their only lined game, a 1-0 ATS record, and they shoot 45.6% from the field. The question is whether that defense travels: Pitt is 0-0 on the road this season, and this is their first true away test.
The number has been stable. Butler opened at -3.5 and hasn't moved off it. The total is the only thing that's shifted, from 158 to 159. Best prices: Butler moneyline -160 at Bovada, Pitt moneyline +140 at BetOnline.ag. On the spread, both sides are -110 at BetOnline.ag, though Bovada has Butler at -3 (-115) and Pitt at +3 (-105). On the total, the over is -105 at BetOnline.ag and the under is -110 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 13, 12:37 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Pittsburgh Panthers vs Butler Bulldogs: FAQ
Who is favored in Pittsburgh Panthers vs Butler Bulldogs?+
Butler Bulldogs: -3.5 on the spread and -160 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 60%.
What are the best odds for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Butler Bulldogs?+
When this analysis was written: Butler Bulldogs -160 at Bovada and Pittsburgh Panthers +140 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; Butler Bulldogs -3.5 (-110) at BetOnline.ag and Pittsburgh Panthers +3.5 (-110) at BetOnline.ag on the spread; Over -105 at BetOnline.ag and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 159. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Butler Bulldogs -3.5 and was -3.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 158 and was 159.
Does GODDS have a pick for Pittsburgh Panthers vs Butler Bulldogs?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
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