Pilots 73, Rainbow Warriors 66: the favorite fails to cover at -8
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -8 (moneyline -350)
- Market probability (margin removed): Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 75%, Portland Pilots 25%
- Line since opening: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -6.5 → -8 · Total 155 → 157
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -350 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Portland Pilots +280 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -8 (-108) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Portland Pilots +8 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 157
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: Portland Pilots 73, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 66
Against the closing line: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors lost and did not cover -8 · Total 139, under 157
Game Recap
Portland Pilots 73, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 66. The Rainbow Warriors entered as -8 favorites and a 75% moneyline lean, but the Pilots flipped the script. Hawai'i's high-scoring offense, which averaged 87.0 points per game, was held to 66, well below its season standard. Portland controlled the pace and kept the home side from finding rhythm. Against the numbers: Hawai'i, the favorite, lost outright and did not cover -8; the total of 139 went under 157. The market was heavy on the Rainbow Warriors, but the Pilots made it pay.
Pre-Game Analysis
Hawai'i hosts Portland on Monday with the market firmly on the Rainbow Warriors. The number sits at -8 after opening at -6.5, and the moneyline reads -350 on the home side. With the margin removed, the market gives Hawai'i a 75% chance to win. That's a heavy lean, but it's not a certainty, and that's exactly why this game is on the board.
The case for Hawai'i starts with a 3-0 record and a 3-game win streak. The Rainbow Warriors score 87.0 points per game and allow just 59.7, a scoring margin that jumps off the page. They're shooting 47.3% from the field and have already cashed 2-0 on the moneyline. At home, against a Portland team that hasn't played a true road game, the setup favors the favorite.
The case for Portland is simple: the Pilots are scoring 116.0 points per game and shooting 61.1% from the field. That's a scoring rate that can erase an eight-point spread in a hurry. They've won two of three, including a win in their last outing, and they've done it with an offense that's been unstoppable so far. If that shooting holds, the +8 is live.
The line has moved from -6.5 to -8, a full point and a half toward Hawai'i. The total has climbed from 155 to 157, signaling money on the over. For the best number on the favorite, BetOnline.ag has -8 (-108), while the best price on Portland is +8 (-105) at Bovada. On the moneyline, BetOnline.ag offers -350 on Hawai'i, and Bovada has +280 on Portland. The total is 157, with the over and under both at -110 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no play to hand you. If you have a read, take the best number available and let the market settle it.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 9, 10:25 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Portland Pilots vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: FAQ
Who is favored in Portland Pilots vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?+
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors: -8 on the spread and -350 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 75%.
What are the best odds for Portland Pilots vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?+
When this analysis was written: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -350 at BetOnline.ag and Portland Pilots +280 at Bovada on the moneyline; Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -8 (-108) at BetOnline.ag and Portland Pilots +8 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 157. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -6.5 and was -8 when this analysis was written; the total opened 155 and was 157.
Does GODDS have a pick for Portland Pilots vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Portland Pilots 73, Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors 66.
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