BYU 98, Queens 82: the favorite wins but doesn't cover -28.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: BYU Cougars -28.5 (moneyline -10000)
- Market probability (margin removed): BYU Cougars 94%, Queens University Royals 6%
- Line since opening: BYU Cougars -28 → -28.5 · Total 181.5 → 182
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- BYU Cougars -10000 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
- Queens University Royals +1600 at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Spread
- BYU Cougars -28.5 (-110) at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Queens University Royals +28.5 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 182
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: Queens University Royals 82, BYU Cougars 98
Against the closing line: BYU Cougars won and did not cover -28.5 · Total 180, under 182
Game Recap
BYU Cougars 98, Queens University Royals 82. The Cougars did what the market expected and then some, putting up 98 points on a Queens defense that had no answer. BYU's offense, which came in averaging 101.0 points per game, stayed aggressive and efficient, turning a hefty -28.5 spread into a comfortable outright win. The Royals kept it competitive but never threatened the moneyline, which was priced at -10000. Against the numbers, the favorite won outright but did not cover -28.5, and the total of 180 went under the closing 182. The market set a high bar, and BYU cleared the win but not the spread.
Pre-Game Analysis
BYU is 2-0 and priced at -10000 on the moneyline, with the spread sitting at -28.5. The market gives the Cougars a 94% chance to win outright, with Queens at 6%. That's the number bettors are working with: a heavy favorite, a big line, and a total of 182.
The case for BYU starts with scoring. The Cougars put up 101.0 points per game and allow 75.0, and they're shooting 55.1% from the field. They've won two straight and covered the spread in their only lined game, going 1-0 ATS. The offense is the engine here, and the market has taken notice, moving the spread from -28 to -28.5.
Queens counters with its own scoring punch. The Royals average 89.0 points per game, but they allow 103.7, and they're shooting 49.5% from the field. They've lost one straight and are 2-1 on the season, but they're 1-0 ATS in their only lined game. The moneyline has moved from -18249 to -10000, which means sharp money is coming in on Queens. That's the strongest argument for the underdog: the market is respecting them more than the opening number suggested.
The total has ticked up from 181.5 to 182, and the over is -110 at Bovada. The best price on the under is also -110 at Bovada. On the spread, BYU -28.5 is -110 at BetOnline.ag, while Queens +28.5 is -105 at Bovada. The moneyline is -10000 for BYU and +1600 for Queens, both at Everygame.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in its model, so there's no play. If you have a read, the best number for the underdog is +28.5 at Bovada, and the best price on the favorite is -28.5 at BetOnline.ag.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 10, 8:13 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
Queens University Royals vs BYU Cougars: FAQ
Who is favored in Queens University Royals vs BYU Cougars?+
BYU Cougars: -28.5 on the spread and -10000 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 94%.
What are the best odds for Queens University Royals vs BYU Cougars?+
When this analysis was written: BYU Cougars -10000 at Everygame and Queens University Royals +1600 at Everygame on the moneyline; BYU Cougars -28.5 (-110) at BetOnline.ag and Queens University Royals +28.5 (-105) at Bovada on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 182. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened BYU Cougars -28 and was -28.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 181.5 and was 182.
Does GODDS have a pick for Queens University Royals vs BYU Cougars?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Queens University Royals 82, BYU Cougars 98.
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