Sacred Heart 81, New Hampshire 76: the favorite falls flat at -1.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: New Hampshire Wildcats -1.5 (moneyline -120)
- Market probability (margin removed): New Hampshire Wildcats 52%, Sacred Heart Pioneers 48%
- Line since opening: New Hampshire Wildcats -1.5 → -1.5 · Total 146 → 146
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- New Hampshire Wildcats -120 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Sacred Heart Pioneers +100 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- New Hampshire Wildcats -1.5 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Sacred Heart Pioneers +1.5 (-114) at EverygameBet at Everygame →
Total 146
- Over -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: Sacred Heart Pioneers 81, New Hampshire Wildcats 76
Against the closing line: New Hampshire Wildcats lost and did not cover -1.5 · Total 157, over 146
Game Recap
Sacred Heart Pioneers 81, New Hampshire Wildcats 76. The Wildcats entered Sunday at 2-0, allowing just 55.0 points per game, and the market priced them as a slim -1.5 favorite at -120. That defense never showed up. Sacred Heart hung 81 on a New Hampshire team that hadn't allowed more than 55 in a game this season, turning a coin-flip matchup into a track meet. The Pioneers controlled the pace and the scoreboard, handing the Wildcats their first loss and making the pre-game lean look like a trap. Against the numbers: New Hampshire, the favorite, lost outright and did not cover -1.5. The total of 146 was blown past, with 157 points scored. The market got the side and the total wrong, and Sacred Heart made sure of it.
Pre-Game Analysis
New Hampshire gets Sacred Heart at home Sunday, and the market prices this one as a coin flip with a lean. The Wildcats are -1.5 at -120 on the moneyline, and the market probability with the margin removed is New Hampshire 52%, Sacred Heart 48%. That's a one-possession game on paper, and the number hasn't moved since it opened.
The case for New Hampshire starts with defense. The Wildcats are 2-0 and allow just 55.0 points per game, and they've won their last three. Their scoring sits at 62.5 PPG, so this is a team that wins by making every possession uncomfortable. A 40.7% field goal rate won't scare anyone, but at home against a team on a back-to-back of inconsistency, the Wildcats' floor is steady.
The case for Sacred Heart is pace and scoring. The Pioneers put up 91.5 points per game and shoot 47.5% from the field. They're 1-1 and coming off a loss, but their last four reads W-L-L-W, which is a team that hasn't found a rhythm yet. The 59.0 points allowed is the number that matters: if Sacred Heart defends at that level, New Hampshire's 62.5 PPG won't keep up.
The line hasn't moved: New Hampshire -1.5 stayed -1.5, and the total stayed 146. Best prices: New Hampshire moneyline -120 at Bovada, Sacred Heart +100 at Bovada. On the spread, New Hampshire -1.5 (-105) at Bovada, Sacred Heart +1.5 (-114) at Everygame. Total 146 is Over -110 and Under -110 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model. If you have a read, the best number is waiting at the book listed above.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 8, 11:35 AM ET. Lines may have moved.
Sacred Heart Pioneers vs New Hampshire Wildcats: FAQ
Who is favored in Sacred Heart Pioneers vs New Hampshire Wildcats?+
New Hampshire Wildcats: -1.5 on the spread and -120 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 52%.
What are the best odds for Sacred Heart Pioneers vs New Hampshire Wildcats?+
When this analysis was written: New Hampshire Wildcats -120 at Bovada and Sacred Heart Pioneers +100 at Bovada on the moneyline; New Hampshire Wildcats -1.5 (-105) at Bovada and Sacred Heart Pioneers +1.5 (-114) at Everygame on the spread; Over -110 at Bovada and Under -110 at Bovada on the total of 146. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened New Hampshire Wildcats -1.5 and was -1.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 146 and was 146.
Does GODDS have a pick for Sacred Heart Pioneers vs New Hampshire Wildcats?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
Sacred Heart Pioneers 81, New Hampshire Wildcats 76.
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