Toreros 75, Buffaloes 83: Colorado wins but fails to cover -12.5
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Colorado Buffaloes -12.5 (moneyline -1048)
- Market probability (margin removed): Colorado Buffaloes 87%, San Diego Toreros 13%
- Line since opening: Colorado Buffaloes -13 → -12.5 · Total 151 → 151
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Colorado Buffaloes -1000 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- San Diego Toreros +732 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
Spread
- Colorado Buffaloes -12.5 (-105) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- San Diego Toreros +12.5 (-110) at BetUSBet at BetUS →
Total 151
- Over -110 at BetOnline.agBet at BetOnline.ag →
- Under -105 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: San Diego Toreros 75, Colorado Buffaloes 83
Against the closing line: Colorado Buffaloes won and did not cover -12.5 · Total 158, over 151
Game Recap
San Diego Toreros 75, Colorado Buffaloes 83. Colorado got the win, but the Buffaloes never looked like a -12.5 favorite. San Diego, a 2-0 team scoring 87.5 per game, kept this within single digits and made the 13% market probability look soft. The Toreros shot 43.9% from the field and turned a double-digit spread into a four-point game. Against the numbers: Colorado won outright but did not cover -12.5, and the total of 158 sailed over 151. The market closed at Colorado -12.5 with a moneyline of -1048, and the final score exposed the gap between the price and the performance.
Pre-Game Analysis
Colorado hosts San Diego Tuesday as a big favorite, but the market isn't as sure as it was. The Buffaloes are -12.5 with a moneyline of -1048, and the market probability after removing the margin is Colorado 87%, San Diego 13%. That's the number to beat if you're building a case either way.
San Diego brings a 2-0 record and a two-game win streak into Boulder, scoring 87.5 points per game while allowing 76.0. The Toreros are shooting 43.9% from the field, and they've won both games on their schedule. The case for the underdog starts with that perfect record and an offense that's putting up points in bunches.
Colorado is 1-1 and riding a one-game losing streak, but the Buffaloes are scoring 80.0 per game and allowing 68.0. Their field goal percentage sits at 48.7%, a clear advantage in shooting efficiency. The case for the favorite is simple: better shooting, a stronger defense by the scoring margin, and home court. The loss column is there, but the underlying numbers say this team can separate.
The line has moved since opening. The spread went from -13 to -12.5, toward San Diego. The moneyline dropped from -1300 to -1048, which is sharp money on the Toreros. The total has stayed at 151. Best prices: Colorado moneyline -1000 at Bovada, San Diego +732 at BetOnline.ag. Spread: Colorado -12.5 (-105) at Bovada, San Diego +12.5 (-110) at BetUS. Total 151: Over -110 at BetOnline.ag, Under -105 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick on this game. No side reaches 70% in the model, so there's no call to make. If you have a read, the best number is waiting for you.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 10, 8:13 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
San Diego Toreros vs Colorado Buffaloes: FAQ
Who is favored in San Diego Toreros vs Colorado Buffaloes?+
Colorado Buffaloes: -12.5 on the spread and -1048 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 87%.
What are the best odds for San Diego Toreros vs Colorado Buffaloes?+
When this analysis was written: Colorado Buffaloes -1000 at Bovada and San Diego Toreros +732 at BetOnline.ag on the moneyline; Colorado Buffaloes -12.5 (-105) at Bovada and San Diego Toreros +12.5 (-110) at BetUS on the spread; Over -110 at BetOnline.ag and Under -105 at Bovada on the total of 151. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Colorado Buffaloes -13 and was -12.5 when this analysis was written; the total opened 151 and was 151.
Does GODDS have a pick for San Diego Toreros vs Colorado Buffaloes?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
San Diego Toreros 75, Colorado Buffaloes 83.
BetAnything
35% Sports Free Play up to $105
More NCAAB Picks
Recent Results
UConn Huskies @ Michigan Wolverines
Michigan Wolverines spread -7
Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Auburn Tigers
Tulsa Golden Hurricane spread +6
Oklahoma Sooners @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Oklahoma Sooners spread -3.5
Michigan Wolverines @ Arizona Wildcats
Michigan Wolverines spread -1.5
Illinois Fighting Illini @ UConn Huskies
UConn Huskies spread +2
West Virginia Mountaineers @ Creighton Bluejays
Creighton Bluejays spread -1
Oklahoma Sooners @ Baylor Bears
Baylor Bears spread +1
Illinois St Redbirds @ Auburn Tigers
Illinois St Redbirds spread +7
Stanford Cardinal @ West Virginia Mountaineers
Stanford Cardinal spread -1
New Mexico Lobos @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane
New Mexico Lobos spread -3.5