South Carolina St 82, Chicago St 67: the favorite never had it
GODDS Analysis
No pickNo GODDS pick on this game. We publish a pick only when our model gives a side 70% or more, and this one doesn't get there. See today's picks →
The market
- Favorite: Chicago St Cougars -2 (moneyline -132)
- Market probability (margin removed): Chicago St Cougars 54%, South Carolina St Bulldogs 46%
- Line since opening: Chicago St Cougars -2 → -2 · Total 145 → 145
Best prices when this analysis was written
Moneyline
- Chicago St Cougars -130 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- South Carolina St Bulldogs +110 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Spread
- Chicago St Cougars -2 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- South Carolina St Bulldogs +2 (-110) at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Total 145
- Over -105 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
- Under -115 at BovadaBet at Bovada →
Final: South Carolina St Bulldogs 82, Chicago St Cougars 67
Against the closing line: Chicago St Cougars lost and did not cover -2 · Total 149, over 144.5
Game Recap
South Carolina St Bulldogs 82, Chicago St Cougars 67.
The market called it a coin flip with a lean, and the lean was wrong. Chicago St closed at **-2** with a **-132** moneyline, a number that said the Cougars had just enough separation at home. They didn't. South Carolina St flipped the script and won going away, turning a game the market priced at **54%** for the favorite into a blowout. The venue and the price were supposed to be Chicago St's case. Instead, the Bulldogs made the price look like a trap.
Against the numbers: the favorite lost outright and never threatened the **-2** spread. The total told a different story, with **149** points sailing over the **144.5** closing line.
Pre-Game Analysis
Chicago St hosts South Carolina St on Monday with the market installed as a modest favorite, and the number tells you everything about how little separation there is. The Cougars are -2 with a -132 moneyline. Remove the margin and the market probability reads Chicago St 54%, South Carolina St 46%. That's a coin flip with a lean, not a statement.
The case for Chicago St starts with the venue and the price. The Cougars are 1-1 and riding a one-game win streak, but the profile is thin: 62.5 points per game against 81.5 allowed, and a 41.0% field goal rate. The market is asking you to trust the home side to defend a short number, and it's charging -130 at Bovada to do it.
The case for South Carolina St is the form. The Bulldogs are 2-0, winners of four straight dating back, scoring 86.0 per game while allowing 62.5. They're 1-0 on the moneyline and 1-0-0 against the spread with a 100% cover rate. The field goal rate sits at 39.6%, so the scoring comes from volume and pace, not pure shooting. The +110 at Bovada is the reward for backing the unbeaten side.
The line hasn't moved: Chicago St -2 since opening, total steady at 145. Best prices, market by market: moneyline, Chicago St -130 at Bovada, South Carolina St +110 at Bovada. Spread, Chicago St -2 (-110) at Bovada, South Carolina St +2 (-110) at Bovada. Total, Over 145 -105 at Bovada, Under 145 -115 at Bovada.
GODDS has no pick here. No side reaches 70% in the model. The best number is waiting for whatever your read is.
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Odds Comparison
Pinnacle (sharp line): its price with its margin removed. Pinnacle does not accept US players. Shown as a reference. value: a book's price that pays more than Pinnacle's fair price.
Odds as of Nov 9, 3:37 PM ET. Lines may have moved.
South Carolina St Bulldogs vs Chicago St Cougars: FAQ
Who is favored in South Carolina St Bulldogs vs Chicago St Cougars?+
Chicago St Cougars: -2 on the spread and -132 on the moneyline when this analysis was written. The books' prices, margin removed, give them 54%.
What are the best odds for South Carolina St Bulldogs vs Chicago St Cougars?+
When this analysis was written: Chicago St Cougars -130 at Bovada and South Carolina St Bulldogs +110 at Bovada on the moneyline; Chicago St Cougars -2 (-110) at Bovada and South Carolina St Bulldogs +2 (-110) at Bovada on the spread; Over -105 at Bovada and Under -115 at Bovada on the total of 145. GODDS compares lines across 8 offshore sportsbooks.
How has the line moved?+
The spread opened Chicago St Cougars -2 and was -2 when this analysis was written; the total opened 145 and was 145.
Does GODDS have a pick for South Carolina St Bulldogs vs Chicago St Cougars?+
No. GODDS publishes a pick only when its model gives a side a 70% chance or more. This game doesn't clear that bar, so GODDS shows the odds and the analysis without a pick.
What was the final score?+
South Carolina St Bulldogs 82, Chicago St Cougars 67.
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